Thiago Monteiro vs Diego Dedura-Palomero – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
12/03/2026 at 19:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
31
Double Faults
20
1st serve percentage
58%69%
1st serve points won
82% (32/39)64% (34/53)
2nd serve points won
64% (18/28)58% (14/24)
Break Points Saved
0/14/6
1st return points won
36% (19/53)18% (7/39)
2nd return points won
42% (10/24)36% (10/28)
Break Points Converted
2/61/1
Net points won
75% (6/8)86% (6/7)
Service Points Won
75% (50/67)62% (48/77)
Return Points Won
38% (29/77)25% (17/67)
Total Points Won
55% (79/144)45% (65/144)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
04
Service games won
91% (10/11)80% (8/10)
Return games won
20% (2/10)9% (1/11)
Total games won
57% (12/21)43% (9/21)

Chances of winning


Thiago Monteiro
55%
Diego Dedura-Palomero
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.4% 38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9% 33.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thiago Monteiro's form might have worsened.
  • Diego Dedura-Palomero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Diego Dedura-Palomero's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thiago Monteiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diego Dedura-Palomero than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Diego Dedura-Palomero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Thiago Monteiro - Diego Dedura-Palomero Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.5)

    2.09
    (2.39)
    7%
    (8.5%)
    What is the prediction for Thiago Monteiro - Diego Dedura-Palomero?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Monteiro will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Dedura-Palomero will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dedura-Palomero (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Monteiro is ranked ATP: 232. Dedura-Palomero is ranked ATP: 291.
    • Monteiro is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Dedura-Palomero is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Monteiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Monteiro is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Thiago Monteiro
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Villanueva G. (Q)2 : 0
    2Meligeni Alves F.Torrealba B. (Q)2 : 1
    3Cadenasso G.Monteiro T.1 : 2
    4Dedura D. (WC)Galan D. E. (6)2 : 0
    5Faria J. (3)Marcondes I. (Q)1 : 2
    6Moreno De Alboran N. (Q)Soto M.2 : 0
    7Olivieri G. A.Heide G. (RET.)1 : 1
    8Collarini A.Barrena A. (RET.) (5)1 : 0
    9Ficovich J. P. (7)Mena F. (Alt)0 : 2
    10Sanchez Izquierdo N.Kingsley C. (Q)2 : 0
    11Rodriguez Taverna S.Malla B. (WC)2 : 0
    12Sakamoto P. (Q)Rocha H. (4)1 : 2
    13Reis Da Silva J. (8)Dutra Da Silva D. (Alt)2 : 1
    14Salazar A. (WC)Boscardin Dias P.0 : 2
    15Varillas J. P.Bueno G.0 : 2
    16Agamenone F.Justo G. I. (LL)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Meligeni Alves F.2 : 1
    2Monteiro T.Dedura D.2 : 0
    3Marcondes I.Moreno De Alboran N.1 : 2
    4Olivieri G. A.Collarini A.2 : 1
    5Mena F.Sanchez Izquierdo N.0 : 2
    6Rodriguez Taverna S. (RET.)Rocha H. (4)0 : 1
    7Reis Da Silva J. (8)Boscardin Dias P.1 : 2
    8Bueno G.Agamenone F.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Monteiro T.1 : 2
    2Moreno De Alboran N.Olivieri G. A.0 : 2
    3Sanchez Izquierdo N.Rocha H. (4)1 : 2
    4Boscardin Dias P.Bueno G.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Monteiro T.Olivieri G. A.1 : 2
    2Rocha H. (4)Boscardin Dias P.2 : 0

    Final
    1Olivieri G. A.Rocha H. (4)