Result
0:2
25/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 65% | 66% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 73% (38/52) | 71% (35/49) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (11/28) | 68% (17/25) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 50% (1/2) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 29% (14/49) | 27% (14/52) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 61% (17/28) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 33% (2/6) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (49/80) | 70% (52/74) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 30% (22/74) | 39% (31/80) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (71/154) | 54% (83/154) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 91% (10/11) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 18% (2/11) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 45% (10/22) | 55% (12/22) |
Chances of winning
Thiago Monteiro
32.3% | Ignacio Buse
67.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Ignacio Buse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ignacio Buse than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Thiago Monteiro - Ignacio Buse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.89 ↑
(2.57) |
|
1.39 ↓
(1.46) |
6.4%
(7.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Thiago Monteiro - Ignacio Buse?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Monteiro will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Buse will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monteiro: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Thiago Monteiro will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Monteiro is ranked ATP: 177. Buse is ranked ATP: 116.
- In recent matches, Monteiro has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Buse is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Monteiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Buse might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Buse will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Monteiro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Thiago Monteiro won against Ignacio Buse?
Thiago Monteiro has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ignacio Buse won against Thiago Monteiro?
Ignacio Buse has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Thiago Monteiro - Ignacio Buse were as follows:
15.03.2025
Thiago Monteiro
-
Ignacio Buse
2:0
Latest results of Thiago Monteiro
Latest results of Ignacio Buse
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Kopriva V. (1) | Pavlovic L. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ritschard A. (Q) | Schwaerzler J. J. (NG) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Travaglia S. (Alt) | Dodig M. (NG) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Negritu Ch. (Q) | Faria J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Carballes Baena R. (3) | Seyboth Wild T. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Llamas Ruiz P. (Q) | Moro Canas A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Araujo P. (WC) | Rocha H. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Choinski J. | Pellegrino A. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Galan D. E. (7) | Trungelliti M. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Den Ouden G. | Ymer E. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Cecchinato M. (Q) | Monteiro T. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Rocha F. (Q) | Buse I. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Moller E. (5) | Pereira T. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Merida Aguilar D. | Kym J. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Ferreira Silva F. (WC) | Clarke J. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Gaubas V. | Taberner C. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Kopriva V. (1) | Ritschard A. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Travaglia S. | Faria J. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Carballes Baena R. (RET.) (3) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Rocha H. | Choinski J. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Trungelliti M. | Den Ouden G. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Monteiro T. | Buse I. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Pereira T. | Merida Aguilar D. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Ferreira Silva F. | Gaubas V. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ritschard A. | Travaglia S. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Rocha H. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Trungelliti M. | Buse I. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Merida Aguilar D. | Gaubas V. | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Travaglia S. | Rocha H. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Buse I. (4) | Gaubas V. | 0 : 2 |
Final
