Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Thiago Monteiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
25/02/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
103
Double Faults
69
1st Serve Percentage
51%63%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (38/50)67% (42/63)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (22/48)46% (17/37)
Break Points Saved
69% (9/13)60% (6/10)
1st Return Points Won
33% (21/63)24% (12/50)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (20/37)54% (26/48)
Break Points Converted
40% (4/10)31% (4/13)
Service Points Won
61% (60/98)59% (59/100)
Return Points Won
41% (41/100)39% (38/98)
Total Points Won
51% (101/198)49% (97/198)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
64% (9/14)71% (10/14)
Return Games Won
29% (4/14)36% (5/14)
Total Games Won
46% (13/28)54% (15/28)

Chances of winning


Juan Manuel Cerundolo
48.4%
Thiago Monteiro
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.3% 54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 55.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Thiago Monteiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.02)

    1.85
    (1.67)
    5.3%
    (9.4%)
    What is the prediction for Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Thiago Monteiro?
  • Users Predictions: Thiago Monteiro will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 123. Monteiro is ranked ATP: 108.
    • Cerundolo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Monteiro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Monteiro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Cerundolo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Thiago Monteiro were as follows:
    10.02.2024 Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Thiago Monteiro 1:2
    17.10.2023 Thiago Monteiro - Juan Manuel Cerundolo 2:1
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Moller E.Burruchaga R. A.2 : 1
    3Passaro F. (RET.) (WC)Vallejo D. (Q)0 : 1
    4Nava E.Berrettini M. (6)2 : 0
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Bye
    6Lajovic D.Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    7Jarry N. (WC)Prizmic D. (Q)1 : 2
    8Soto M. (WC)Gaubas V. (LL)0 : 2
    9Tabilo A. (8)Barrios Vera T.2 : 0
    10Tirante T. A.Buse I.2 : 1
    11Cerundolo J. M.Garin C.1 : 2
    12ByeBaez S. (3)
    13Comesana F. (7)Martinez P.2 : 1
    14Pellegrino A. (Q)Barrena A. (Q)2 : 1
    15Navone M.Kopriva V. (RET.)1 : 1
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Moller E.2 : 0
    2Vallejo D.Nava E.0 : 2
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    4Prizmic D.Gaubas V.1 : 2
    5Tabilo A. (8)Tirante T. A.2 : 1
    6Garin C.Baez S. (3)1 : 2
    7Comesana F. (7)Pellegrino A.1 : 2
    8Navone M.Darderi L. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Nava E.2 : 0
    2Hanfmann Y.Gaubas V.2 : 1
    3Tabilo A. (8)Baez S. (3)0 : 2
    4Pellegrino A.Darderi L. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    2Baez S. (3)Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Hanfmann Y.Darderi L. (2)0 : 2