Thiago Monteiro vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Bastad Thiago Monteiro - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Result
1:2
15/07/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
45
Double Faults
07
1st Serve Percentage
67%70%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (49/70)70% (52/74)
2nd Serve Points Won
38% (13/34)53% (17/32)
Break Points Saved
25% (1/4)57% (4/7)
1st Return Points Won
30% (22/74)30% (21/70)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (15/32)62% (21/34)
Break Points Converted
43% (3/7)75% (3/4)
Winners
2729
Unforced Errors
5139
Net Points Won
56% (5/9)89% (8/9)
Service Points Won
60% (62/104)65% (69/106)
Return Points Won
35% (37/106)40% (42/104)
Total Points Won
47% (99/210)53% (111/210)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
81% (13/16)82% (14/17)
Return Games Won
18% (3/17)19% (3/16)
Total Games Won
48% (16/33)52% (17/33)

Chances of winning


Thiago Monteiro
63.9%
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63% 37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 39.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Thiago Monteiro - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.49)

    2.64
    (2.53)
    5%
    (6.9%)
    What is the prediction for Thiago Monteiro - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Monteiro will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Budkov Kjaer will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Budkov Kjaer: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Budkov Kjaer (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Monteiro is ranked ATP: 152. Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 298.
    • Monteiro has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Budkov Kjaer is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Monteiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Monteiro could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Thiago Monteiro
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Barrios Vera T.Navone M.0 : 2
    3Gaston H.Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    4Ofner S.Dzumhur D. (7)0 : 2
    5Baez S. (4)Bye
    6Monteiro T. (Q)Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)1 : 2
    7Ymer E. (WC)Boyer T.2 : 1
    8Collignon R.Darderi L. (6)1 : 2
    9Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Garin C.2 : 0
    10Ymer M. (WC)Van De Zandschulp B.0 : 2
    11Misolic F. (Q)Moller E.2 : 1
    12ByeBorges N. (3)
    13Kopriva V. (8)Dellien H. (RET.)1 : 0
    14Rejchtman Vinciguerra W. (WC)De Jong J.0 : 2
    15Pellegrino A. (Q)Faria J.2 : 1
    16ByeGriekspoor T. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Navone M.2 : 0
    2Gaston H.Dzumhur D. (7)1 : 2
    3Baez S. (4)Budkov Kjaer N.2 : 1
    4Ymer E.Darderi L. (6)0 : 2
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 1
    6Misolic F.Borges N. (3)2 : 1
    7Kopriva V. (8)De Jong J.0 : 2
    8Pellegrino A.Griekspoor T. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Dzumhur D. (7)2 : 1
    2Baez S. (4)Darderi L. (6)0 : 2
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Misolic F.2 : 0
    4De Jong J.Griekspoor T. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Darderi L. (6)1 : 2
    2Ugo Carabelli C. (5)De Jong J.0 : 2

    Final
    1Darderi L. (6)De Jong J.2 : 1