Thisted vs Næstved BK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2nd Division - Promotion Group - Round 23

Chances of winning


Thisted
27%
Draw
27.4%
Næstved BK
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32% 28.4% 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1% 27.6% 40.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Thisted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Næstved BK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Næstved BK's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thisted than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Næstved BK than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Thisted - Næstved BK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.37
    (2.8)
    3.33
    (3.15)
    2
    (2.26)
    9.7%
    (11.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thisted won 1.
    • Thisted has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Næstved is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Thisted may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Næstved is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Thisted won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Thisted won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Thisted - Næstved BK were as follows:
    09.11.2025 Thisted - Næstved BK 1:2
    14.09.2025 Næstved BK - Thisted 0:2
    09.03.2025 Næstved BK - Thisted 2:1
    01.09.2024 Thisted - Næstved BK 0:1
    Latest results of Thisted
    06.04.2026 Thisted - Brabrand 0:0
    01.04.2026 Fremad Amager - Thisted 2:0
    27.03.2026 Thisted - Skive IK 1:0
    20.03.2026 Vendsyssel - Thisted 2:1
    15.03.2026 Thisted - AB Copenhagen 0:2
    Latest results of Næstved BK
    06.04.2026 Næstved BK - Hellerup 2:1
    02.04.2026 Roskilde - Næstved BK 2:3
    29.03.2026 Næstved BK - Brabrand 0:0
    21.03.2026 Skive IK - Næstved BK 0:0
    15.03.2026 Næstved BK - Vendsyssel 1:1
    Danish 2 Division Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AB Copenhagen23172461:223953
    2Naestved22135435:241144
    3Vendsyssel22132733:25841
    4Roskilde22105738:241435
    5Thisted FC2296727:23433
    6Hellerup231021128:42-1432

          Promotion ~ 1st Division