Thor Akureyri vs Fram – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
23/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Besta deild karla - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.212.13
Ball possession
39%61%
Total shots
519
Shots on target
32
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
211
Passes
75% (237/316)82% (380/461)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
0.212.13
xG on target (xGOT)
0.660.95
Total shots
519
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
18
Blocked shots
19
Shots inside the box
112
Shots outside the box
47
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
211
Touches in opposition box
1146
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free kicks
1515
Passes
75% (237/316)82% (380/461)
Long passes
46% (31/68)58% (29/50)
Passes in final third
63% (59/93)79% (175/222)
Crosses
25% (3/12)28% (14/50)
Expected assists (xA)
0.352.55
Throw ins
2139
Fouls
1515
Tackles
55% (12/22)40% (6/15)
Duels won
5462
Clearances
5813
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
0.950.66
Goals prevented
0.95-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Sigurdsson F. , Fred Saraiva ,
  • 49', 1 - 0, Haugland S. , Jakobsen C. (A),
  • 57', McLagan K. 🟨,
  • 61', Atanga I. 🟨,
  • 63', Atanga I. , Hlynsson A. ,
  • 63', Haugland S. , Kristjansson I. ,
  • 64', Sigurjonsson A. , Gunnarsson S. ,
  • 64', Thorbjornsson T. , Garcia I. ,
  • 64', Jonasson A. , Bystrom J. ,
  • 79', McLagan K. , Konradsson K. ,
  • 81', Jakobsen C. , Magnusson A. ,
  • 90', Jonasson A. 🟨,
  • 90', Halldorsson E. , Fridriksson K. ,

Chances of winning


Thor Akureyri
35.3%
Draw
22.7%
Fram
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 24.2% 45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4% 23.4% 47%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Thor Akureyri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Fram has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thor Akureyri that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fram than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Thor Akureyri - Fram Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.98)
    4.11
    (3.75)
    2.22
    (2)
    7.2%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Thor Akureyri - Fram?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Thor will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Fram will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fram: 35.2%92%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thor won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Fram has had a series of home games.
    • Fram could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Thor won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:38. (average 1.3:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Thor won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
    Latest results of Thor Akureyri
    12.04.2026 Valur - Thor Akureyri 1:2
    17.03.2026 Thor Akureyri - Fylkir 0:2
    10.03.2026 Thor Akureyri - Valur 5:1
    Latest results of Fram
    17.04.2026 Fram - Keflavík 3:1
    12.04.2026 Fram - Akraness 3:3
    04.04.2026 Fram - Vikingur Reykjavik 2:4
    06.03.2026 Keflavík - Fram 4:3
    28.02.2026 Fram - Vestri 5:2
    Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1KR Reykjavik440018:81012
    2Vikingur Reykjavik431010:3710
    3Valur430110:559
    4Breidablik42206:158
    5Fram421111:657
    6Stjarnan420210:11-16
    7Thor Akureyri42025:10-56
    8Keflavik41125:7-24
    9Akranes40224:9-52
    10KA Akureyri40134:8-41
    11Hafnarfjordur40135:11-61
    12Vestmannaeyjar40135:14-91

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