Result
 
                    0:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        11/04/2025 at  13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Challenge League - Round 30
 
                                                - Referee: Turkes M. (Sui)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.61 | 2.32 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 53% | 47% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 14 | 16 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 5 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 4 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 80% (369/464) | 77% (314/409) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.61 | 2.32 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.12 | 2.66 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 14 | 16 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 5 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 6 | 8 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 6 | 3 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 8 | 12 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 6 | 4 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 4 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 19 | 45 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 15 | 10 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 80% (369/464) | 77% (314/409) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 52% (41/79) | 41% (26/63) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 67% (69/103) | 54% (82/151) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 44% (4/9) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.89 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 10 | 15 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 59% (10/17) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 41 | 47 | 
| Clearances Total | 
|---|
| 26 | 21 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 16 | 15 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 2.66 | 0.12 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.12 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
 - 22', Reichmuth N. 🟨, 
 - 37', Frith D. 🟨, 
 - 43', 0 - 1, Bertone L. (Pen), 
 - 45', Escorza T. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (0 - 1)
 - 46', Frith D. ↓, Castroman M. ↑, 
 - 46', Gazzetta L. ↓, Ndongo R. ↑, 
 - 46', Kore F. ↓, Traore S. ↑, 
 - 61', Silva ↓, Pasche E. ↑, 
 - 62', 0 - 2, Reichmuth N. ⚽, Rastoder E. (A), 
 - 68', Reichmuth N. ↓, Roth J. ↑, 
 - 72', Stewart L. ↓, Gutbub M. ↑, 
 - 72', Rastoder E. ↓, Ibayi C. ↑, 
 - 82', Janjicic V. ↓, Meichtry F. ↑, 
 - 83', Escorza T. ↓, Weber P. ↑, 
 - 83', Gaillard Q. ↓, Okuka M. ↑, 
 - 86', Weber P. 🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Stade Nyonnais  21.3% | Draw  24.4% | Thun  54.3% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Stade Nyonnais - Thun Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   4.32 ↓ (4.5) | 
			   3.78 ↓ (3.95) | 
			   1.7 ↑ (1.66) | 
			   8.6% (7.9%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Stade Nyonnais - Thun?
                    
                    
                        
						        
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Stade Nyonnais (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Thun (votes: 2 - 66.7%). 
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Thun will win 
                    (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Last 5 head-to-head matches Stade Nyonnais won 0. 
 - Stade Nyonnais is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1). 
 - Recent matches Thun is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). 
 - In this match Thun is a favorite.
 - There will not play in Stade Nyonnais: Busset R.
(Inactive)
De P. A.
(Injury)
Diomande B.
(Injury)
Richard G.
(Inactive)
 - There will not play in Thun: Balaruban A.
(Muscle Injury)
Matoshi V.
(Shoulder Injury)
Tebily H.
(Injury)
Tomas M.
(Arm Injury)
 - Last 11 head-to-head matches Stade Nyonnais won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11:30 (average 1:2.7). 
 - Including matches at home between the teams Stade Nyonnais won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:12 (average 1:2.4).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Stade Nyonnais won against Thun?
                    
                    
                        
                            Stade Nyonnais has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Thun won against Stade Nyonnais?
                    
                    
                        
                             Thun has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Stade Nyonnais - Thun were as follows:
                                                        
                                28.02.2025 
                                Thun 
                                - 
                                Stade Nyonnais 
                                2:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                01.11.2024 
                                Stade Nyonnais 
                                - 
                                Thun 
                                1:6
                            
        
                                                        
                                25.08.2024 
                                Thun 
                                - 
                                Stade Nyonnais 
                                4:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                25.06.2024 
                                Thun 
                                - 
                                Stade Nyonnais 
                                3:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                27.04.2024 
                                Stade Nyonnais 
                                - 
                                Thun 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Stade Nyonnais                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Aarau | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 26:10 | 16 | 33 | 
| 2 | Vaduz | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 28:12 | 16 | 27 | 
| 3 | Yverdon | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 25:14 | 11 | 23 | 
| 4 | Xamax | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 20 | 
| 5 | Lausanne Ouchy | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 19 | 
| 6 | Stade Nyonnais | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 | 
| 7 | Etoile-Carouge | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:17 | -5 | 11 | 
| 8 | Rapperswil-Jona | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12:19 | -7 | 10 | 
| 9 | Wil | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9:23 | -14 | 8 | 
| 10 | Bellinzona | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5:28 | -23 | 4 | 
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