Result
0:4
23/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 4
- Referee: Drmic M. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (475/548) | 71% (193/271) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 2.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (475/548) | 71% (193/271) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (32/60) | 39% (26/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (159/199) | 61% (58/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 61% (17/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.53 | 0.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.47 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 14', 0 - 1, Rastoder E. ⚽, Ibayi C. (A),
- 41', 0 - 2, Meichtry F. ⚽, Reichmuth N. (A),
- 43', Montolio G. 🟨,
- 44', Rodic M. ↓, Volken N. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Kamberi L. ↓, Comenencia L. ↑,
- 46', Gomez M. 🟨,
- 48', Burki M. 🟨,
- 59', 0 - 3, Ibayi C. ⚽, Rastoder E. (A),
- 65', Segura J. ↓, Sauter I. ↑,
- 65', Reichmuth N. ↓, Imeri K. ↑,
- 65', Ibayi C. ↓, Labeau B. ↑,
- 66', Krasniqi B. ↓, Keny P. P. ↑,
- 77', Kait M. ↓, Janjicic V. ↑,
- 77', Meichtry F. ↓, Matoshi V. ↑,
- 80', Emmanuel U. ↓, Reverson D. ↑,
- 83', Rastoder E. ↓, Bamert J. ↑,
- 87', Keny P. P. 🟥,
- 90+2', 0 - 4, Matoshi V. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Zürich
23.8% | Draw
30.4% | Thun
45.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zürich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zürich's form might have worsened.Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thun's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zürich than the current prediction. (+22.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zürich, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thun than the current prediction. (-18.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thun, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Zürich - Thun Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.86 ↑
(2.1) |
4.32 ↑
(3.42) |
2.77 ↓
(3.36) |
-23.7%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Zürich - Thun?
Users Predictions:
Zürich will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zürich won 2.
- Recent performances by Zürich have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Thun is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Thun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Zürich has had a series of away games.
- Zürich might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Zürich: Keny P. P.
(Inactive)
Ligue J.
(Muscle Injury)
Perea J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Reichmuth M.
(Inactive)
Vujevic D.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zürich won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:34. (average 1.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zürich won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:15. (average 2.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Zürich won against Thun?
Zürich has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Thun won against Zürich?
Thun has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zürich - Thun were as follows:
06.07.2024
Thun
-
Zürich
0:0
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 9 |
| 3 | Sion | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 7 |
| 4 | Luzern | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Basel | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Zurich | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 8 | Lausanne | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | Lugano | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 10 | Grasshoppers | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 2 |
| 11 | Winterthur | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:11 | -6 | 2 |
| 12 | Servette | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
