Result
30:29
27/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 2, Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Chances of winning
MT Melsungen
29.1% | Draw
10.9% | THW Kiel
60% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MT Melsungen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in MT Melsungen's performance.THW Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and THW Kiel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for MT Melsungen than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with MT Melsungen that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for THW Kiel than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that THW Kiel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
MT Melsungen - THW Kiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3 ↓
(3.9) |
8.42 ↓
(9.29) |
1.55 ↑
(1.36) |
9.8%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 58.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
What is the prediction for MT Melsungen - THW Kiel?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Kiel will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 28:30.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ European League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melsungen won 1.
- Melsungen is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kiel's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Kiel has had a series of home games.
- Kiel could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melsungen won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 510:588. (average 25.5:29.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melsungen won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 172:188. (average 24.6:26.9).
How many head-to-head matches has MT Melsungen won against THW Kiel?
MT Melsungen has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has THW Kiel won against MT Melsungen?
THW Kiel has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MT Melsungen - THW Kiel were as follows:
18.10.2025
THW Kiel
-
MT Melsungen
31:29
25.05.2025
THW Kiel
-
MT Melsungen
37:31
13.04.2025
THW Kiel
-
MT Melsungen
28:23
29.03.2025
MT Melsungen
-
THW Kiel
27:22
04.03.2025
THW Kiel
-
MT Melsungen
35:24
Latest results of MT Melsungen
Latest results of THW Kiel
German Bundesliga Handball Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | SC Magdeburg | 28 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 911:755 | 52 |
| 2 | Flensburg-H | 28 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 985:882 | 45 |
| 3 | Fuchse Berlin | 28 | 22 | 0 | 6 | 1005:842 | 44 |
| 4 | Gummersbach | 27 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 854:745 | 41 |
| 5 | Kiel | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 869:823 | 39 |
| 6 | Lemgo | 28 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 831:784 | 35 |
| 7 | MT Melsungen | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 820:798 | 34 |
| 8 | Rhein-Neckar | 28 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 846:812 | 31 |
| 9 | Goppingen | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 772:816 | 26 |
| 10 | Hannover-Burgdorf | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 830:843 | 24 |
| 11 | Hamburg | 28 | 11 | 1 | 16 | 874:897 | 23 |
| 12 | Stuttgart | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 828:860 | 22 |
| 13 | Erlangen | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 793:843 | 19 |
| 14 | Eisenach | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 781:837 | 19 |
| 15 | Bergischer | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 809:895 | 15 |
| 16 | Minden | 28 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 772:912 | 12 |
| 17 | HSG Wetzlar | 28 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 782:895 | 11 |
| 18 | Leipzig | 27 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 739:862 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League
Promotion ~ European League
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
