Result
30:29
27/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 2, Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Chances of winning
MT Melsungen
29.1% | Draw
10.9% | THW Kiel
60% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MT Melsungen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in MT Melsungen's performance.THW Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and THW Kiel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for MT Melsungen than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with MT Melsungen that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for THW Kiel than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that THW Kiel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
MT Melsungen - THW Kiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3 ↓
(3.9) |
8.42 ↓
(9.29) |
1.55 ↑
(1.36) |
9.8%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 58.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
What is the prediction for MT Melsungen - THW Kiel?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Kiel will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 28:30.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ European League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melsungen won 1.
- Melsungen is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kiel's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Kiel has had a series of home games.
- Kiel could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melsungen won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 510:588. (average 25.5:29.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melsungen won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 172:188. (average 24.6:26.9).
How many head-to-head matches has MT Melsungen won against THW Kiel?
MT Melsungen has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has THW Kiel won against MT Melsungen?
THW Kiel has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MT Melsungen - THW Kiel were as follows:
18.10.2025
THW Kiel
-
MT Melsungen
31:29
25.05.2025
THW Kiel
-
MT Melsungen
37:31
13.04.2025
THW Kiel
-
MT Melsungen
28:23
29.03.2025
MT Melsungen
-
THW Kiel
27:22
04.03.2025
THW Kiel
-
MT Melsungen
35:24
Latest results of MT Melsungen
Latest results of THW Kiel
German Bundesliga Handball Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | SC Magdeburg | 29 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 941:781 | 54 |
| 2 | Flensburg-H | 29 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 1025:912 | 47 |
| 3 | Fuchse Berlin | 29 | 23 | 0 | 6 | 1033:868 | 46 |
| 4 | Gummersbach | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 946:833 | 44 |
| 5 | Kiel | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 922:884 | 40 |
| 6 | Lemgo | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 889:846 | 36 |
| 7 | MT Melsungen | 30 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 872:868 | 34 |
| 8 | Rhein-Neckar | 30 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 906:866 | 33 |
| 9 | Goppingen | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 833:875 | 29 |
| 10 | Hamburg | 30 | 13 | 1 | 16 | 936:946 | 27 |
| 11 | Hannover-Burgdorf | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 889:903 | 25 |
| 12 | Stuttgart | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 880:921 | 22 |
| 13 | Eisenach | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 815:866 | 21 |
| 14 | Erlangen | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 845:904 | 19 |
| 15 | Bergischer | 30 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 868:957 | 17 |
| 16 | HSG Wetzlar | 30 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 848:949 | 15 |
| 17 | Minden | 30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 833:974 | 14 |
| 18 | Leipzig | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 828:956 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League
Promotion ~ European League
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
