TBV Lemgo vs THW Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
23:23
14/12/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
hungaryHungarySport 2
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
ukraineUkraineSport 2
worldWorldSport 2 Baltic

Chances of winning


TBV Lemgo
37%
Draw
11.7%
THW Kiel
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 9.4% 56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 9% 54.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • TBV Lemgo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • THW Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and THW Kiel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for TBV Lemgo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for THW Kiel than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • TBV Lemgo - THW Kiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.48
    (2.68)
    8
    (9.65)
    1.79
    (1.61)
    8.9%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 57.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ European League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ European League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lemgo won 0.
    • Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.
    • Kiel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Kiel will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lemgo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 16 matches, and goals 515:594. (average 25.8:29.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lemgo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 260:283. (average 26:28.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between TBV Lemgo - THW Kiel were as follows:
    15.05.2025 THW Kiel - TBV Lemgo 35:29
    26.12.2024 TBV Lemgo - THW Kiel 22:23
    31.03.2024 TBV Lemgo - THW Kiel 27:28
    22.10.2023 THW Kiel - TBV Lemgo 33:29
    26.02.2023 TBV Lemgo - THW Kiel 22:28
    Latest results of TBV Lemgo
    30.11.2025 Füchse Berlin - TBV Lemgo 33:34
    21.11.2025 TBV Lemgo - Eisenach 28:19
    16.11.2025 Erlangen - TBV Lemgo 24:25
    Latest results of THW Kiel
    10.12.2025 THW Kiel - Stuttgart 33:32
    02.12.2025 THW Kiel - Montpellier HB 27:18
    28.11.2025 Eisenach - THW Kiel 27:27
    German Bundesliga Handball Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1SC Magdeburg292621941:78154
    2Flensburg-H2922341025:91247
    3Fuchse Berlin2923061033:86846
    4Gummersbach302046946:83344
    5Kiel301686922:88440
    6Lemgo3016410889:84636
    7MT Melsungen3015411872:86834
    8Rhein-Neckar3015312906:86633
    9Goppingen3011712833:87529
    10Hamburg3013116936:94627
    11Hannover-Burgdorf3010515889:90325
    12Stuttgart307815880:92122
    13Eisenach298516815:86621
    14Erlangen307518845:90419
    15Bergischer307320868:95717
    16HSG Wetzlar306321848:94915
    17Minden305421833:97414
    18Leipzig303720828:95613

          Promotion ~ Champions League
          Promotion ~ European League
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga