Tiago Pereira vs Lorenzo Carboni – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
08/11/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Monastir 9, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
91

Chances of winning


Tiago Pereira
54.5%
Lorenzo Carboni
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.8% 40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6% 38.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tiago Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tiago Pereira's form might have worsened.
  • Lorenzo Carboni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorenzo Carboni's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tiago Pereira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Carboni, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tiago Pereira - Lorenzo Carboni Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.55)

    2.04
    (2.31)
    7.8%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Tiago Pereira - Lorenzo Carboni?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Carboni (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Pereira is ranked ATP: 280. Carboni is ranked ATP: 425.
    • Pereira has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Carboni is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Carboni may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Pereira will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Tiago Pereira
    Latest results of Lorenzo Carboni
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Moro Canas A. (1)Vasilev D.2 : 0
    2Ostapenkov D.Malige M.0 : 2
    3Bennour Dit Sahli A.Kakhniuk D.0 : 2
    4Ouakaa A.Geerts M. (7)0 : 2
    5Andaloro F. (4)Gadamauri B.0 : 2
    6van Wyk K.Brunclik P.0 : 2
    7Jermar J.Beauge M.1 : 2
    8Kudriashov I. (RET.)Berrettini J. (8)1 : 1
    9Bertrand R. (5)Solheim F. K.2 : 0
    10Sciahbasi L.Trifi A.1 : 2
    11Donnet E.Strombachs R.0 : 2
    12Kumstat J.Pereira T. (3)1 : 2
    13Erhard M. (6)Blanch D.0 : 2
    14Cardinaud H.Carboni L.0 : 2
    15Omarkhanov A.Djuric B.1 : 2
    16Mbithi M.Houkes M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Moro Canas A. (1)Malige M.2 : 0
    2Kakhniuk D.Geerts M. (7)0 : 2
    3Gadamauri B.Brunclik P.2 : 0
    4Beauge M.Berrettini J. (8)0 : 2
    5Bertrand R. (5)Trifi A.2 : 0
    6Strombachs R.Pereira T. (3)0 : 2
    7Blanch D.Carboni L.1 : 2
    8Djuric B.Houkes M. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Moro Canas A. (1)Geerts M. (7)2 : 1
    2Gadamauri B.Berrettini J. (8)1 : 2
    3Bertrand R. (5)Pereira T. (3)1 : 2
    4Carboni L.Djuric B.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Moro Canas A. (1)Berrettini J. (8)1 : 2
    2Pereira T. (3)Carboni L.2 : 0

    Final
    1Berrettini J. (8)Pereira T. (3)2 : 0