Result
2:0
27/07/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (245/321) | 77% (311/406) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (245/321) | 77% (311/406) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (27/57) | 32% (20/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (66/101) | 49% (51/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 49 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.15 | 2.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Lamkel Ze D. 🟨,
- 7', Jin Yonghao 🟨,
- 9', Wang Xianjun 🟨,
- 16', 1 - 0, Lamkel Ze D. ⚽, Filipe Augusto (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Wang Xianjun ↓, Sun Ming-Him ↑,
- 46', Yang Zihao ↓, Yang Fan ↑,
- 49', Liu Jiashen 🟨,
- 59', Xie Weijun ↓, Huang Jiahui ↑,
- 60', Liu Junshuai ↓, Jin Yangyang ↑,
- 61', Lin Chuangyi ↓, Luo Senwen ↑,
- 69', Jin Yonghao ↓, Zhang Chi ↑,
- 69', Wei Suowei ↓, Song Long ↑,
- 77', Wang Qiuming ↓, Li Yongjia ↑,
- 80', Ademi A. (Pen),
- 81', Filipe Augusto ↓, Che Shiwei ↑,
- 85', Salvador C. ↓, Liu J. ↑,
- 88', Jin Yangyang 🟨,
- 90', Xadas 🟨,
- 90+5', Lamkel Ze D. 🟨,
- 90+9', 2 - 0, Wellington Silva ⚽,
- 90+11', Wellington Silva 🟨,
Chances of winning
Qingdao Hainiu
29% | Draw
28.1% | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
42.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qingdao Hainiu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Hainiu than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Qingdao Hainiu - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.22 ↑
(3.04) |
3.35 ↓
(3.49) |
2.19 ↓
(2.19) |
6.6%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Qingdao Hainiu - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Qingdao Hainiu will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qingdao Hainiu won 1.
- Qingdao Hainiu has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Qingdao Hainiu: Feng Boyuan
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Fang Jingqi
(Injury)
Shi Yan
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Qingdao Hainiu: Ormeno S.
(Inactive)
Wei Suowei
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Ademi A.
(Injury)
Yang Fan
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Qingdao Hainiu won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Qingdao Hainiu won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Qingdao Hainiu won against Tianjin Jinmen Tiger?
Qingdao Hainiu has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won against Qingdao Hainiu?
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Qingdao Hainiu - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger were as follows:
29.03.2025
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
-
Qingdao Hainiu
1:0
27.10.2024
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
-
Qingdao Hainiu
1:0
26.05.2024
Qingdao Hainiu
-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3:1
22.10.2023
Qingdao Hainiu
-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1:4
28.06.2023
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
-
Qingdao Hainiu
3:2
Latest results of Qingdao Hainiu
Latest results of Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shanghai Shenhua | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 46:23 | 23 | 45 |
| 2 | Shanghai Port | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 41:23 | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 38:20 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 35:15 | 20 | 37 |
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 36:29 | 7 | 28 |
| 6 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 25:27 | -2 | 28 |
| 7 | Zhejiang Professional | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 35:28 | 7 | 26 |
| 8 | Yunnan Yukun | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 30:32 | -2 | 26 |
| 9 | Dalian Yingbo | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:24 | -5 | 26 |
| 10 | Qingdao West Coast | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24:27 | -3 | 23 |
| 11 | Wuhan Three Towns | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 25:34 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 22:38 | -16 | 17 |
| 13 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 27:33 | -6 | 16 |
| 14 | Meizhou Hakka | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 22:39 | -17 | 13 |
| 15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 15:29 | -14 | 11 |
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 15:34 | -19 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League
