Tibo Colson vs Miguel Tobon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
07/04/2026 at 21:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
105
Double Faults
106
1st serve percentage
53%49%
1st serve points won
72% (31/43)66% (27/41)
2nd serve points won
45% (17/38)47% (20/43)
Break Points Saved
1/58/12
1st return points won
34% (14/41)28% (12/43)
2nd return points won
53% (23/43)55% (21/38)
Break Points Converted
4/124/5
Winners
2123
Unforced errors
3750
Net points won
63% (5/8)73% (8/11)
Service Points Won
59% (48/81)56% (47/84)
Return Points Won
44% (37/84)41% (33/81)
Total Points Won
52% (85/165)48% (80/165)
Last 10 balls
91
Match points saved
00
Service games won
69% (9/13)67% (8/12)
Return games won
33% (4/12)31% (4/13)
Total games won
52% (13/25)48% (12/25)

Chances of winning


Tibo Colson
40.4%
Miguel Tobon
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 53.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tibo Colson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tibo Colson's form might have worsened.
  • Miguel Tobon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Miguel Tobon's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tibo Colson than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tibo Colson, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miguel Tobon than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Miguel Tobon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tibo Colson - Miguel Tobon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (1.84)

    1.57
    (1.84)
    7.1%
    (8.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Colson is ranked ATP: 500. Tobon is ranked ATP: 469.
    • Colson is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Tobon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Colson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Tibo Colson
    Latest results of Miguel Tobon