Merelbeke vs Tienen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National Division 1 - VV - Round 6

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 52', 0 - 1, ,
  • 72', 1 - 1, ,
  • 88', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Merelbeke
41%
Draw
26.8%
Tienen
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 25.4% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 23.9% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Merelbeke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Tienen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merelbeke than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tienen than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Merelbeke - Tienen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.28)
    3.43
    (3.6)
    2.85
    (2.66)
    9%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Merelbeke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tienen has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Merelbeke won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Merelbeke won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Merelbeke - Tienen were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Merelbeke - Tienen 0:0
    20.10.2024 Tienen - Merelbeke 2:0
    Latest results of Merelbeke
    27.09.2025 Merelbeke - Leuven B 2:1
    21.09.2025 SK Roeselare - Merelbeke 1:0
    14.09.2025 Merelbeke - Ninove 1:1
    30.08.2025 Merelbeke - Belisia Bilzen 0:1
    Latest results of Tienen
    28.09.2025 Tienen - Houtvenne 0:2
    20.09.2025 Dessel Sport - Tienen 1:1
    14.09.2025 Tienen - SK Roeselare 0:3
    21.08.2025 Tienen - Namur 2:2
    Belgian National Division 1 VV Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hasselt22143562:224045
    2Knokke22124635:35040
    3Thes Sport22116530:201039
    4SK Roeselare22107534:231137
    5Belisia Bilzen22107540:31937
    6Lyra-Lierse2297632:25734
    7Hoogstraten2297637:33434
    8Cercle Brugge KSV 22296731:32-133
    9Zelzate2286840:38230
    10Dessel2285947:48-129
    11Tienen22831126:36-1027
    12Merelbeke22731231:36-524
    13Leuven B22731237:45-824
    14Diegem22561136:45-921
    15Houtvenne22561126:41-1521
    16Ninove22331628:62-3412

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