Result
2:1
25/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 7
- Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.94 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (304/390) | 78% (249/321) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (304/390) | 78% (249/321) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (35/75) | 43% (15/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (75/130) | 67% (74/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.51 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 2.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Russo I. ⚽, Saralegui J. (A),
- 31', Demartini N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Barrios R. ↓, Maroni G. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 1, Tobio F. ⚽,
- 54', 2 - 1, Bruera F. ⚽, Porra T. (A),
- 67', Saralegui J. ↓, Serrago T. ↑,
- 70', Pineiro G. 🟨,
- 72', Candia J. ↓, Morales G. ↑,
- 72', Tapia I. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
- 73', Lopez S. ↓, Oviedo A. ↑,
- 73', Pineiro G. ↓, Medina S. ↑,
- 76', Maroni G. 🟨,
- 79', Romero D. ↓, Martinez P. ↑,
- 79', Alvarez F. ↓, Banegas N. ↑,
- 89', Porra T. ↓, Rak Y. ↑,
- 90+1', Miloc D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Barracas Central
29.4% | Draw
34.2% | Tigre
36.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Tigre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Barracas Central - Tigre Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.22 ↑
(3.1) |
2.76 ↓
(2.79) |
2.58 ↑
(2.53) |
6%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Barracas Central - Tigre?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Barracas Central will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tigre will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tigre: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Barracas Central (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barracas Central won 2.
- Barracas Central has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tigre is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tigre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Tigre could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Barracas Central: Taborda E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Tigre: Gonzalez S.
(Knee Injury)
Martinez P.
(Inactive)
Rivero S. G.
(Knee Injury)
Saralegui J.
(Thigh Injury)
Soto G.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Barracas Central won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barracas Central won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Barracas Central won against Tigre?
Barracas Central has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tigre won against Barracas Central?
Tigre has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barracas Central - Tigre were as follows:
20.10.2025
Tigre
-
Barracas Central
2:2
12.04.2025
Barracas Central
-
Tigre
1:0
02.12.2024
Barracas Central
-
Tigre
0:0
17.07.2023
Tigre
-
Barracas Central
0:1
Latest results of Barracas Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 22 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Lanus | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 4 | Estudiantes L.P | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Talleres Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Union de Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Independiente | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Platense | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Central Cordoba | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5:7 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Instituto | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:22 | -15 | 6 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 23 |
| 2 | River Plate | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Racing Club | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Tigre | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Argentinos Jrs | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Gimnasia L.P | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | Huracan | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 | Banfield | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8:11 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3:17 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
