Result
2:1
19/04/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Tubi TV |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (418/470) | 86% (441/513) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.55 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (418/470) | 86% (441/513) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (19/40) | 54% (33/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (74/99) | 68% (59/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 35 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.76 | 2.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | 0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45', 1 - 0, Gorriaran F. ⚽, Angulo J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', 1 - 1, Martinez G. (Pen),
- 65', 2 - 1, Gorriaran F. ⚽, Brunetta J. (A),
- 69', Martinez G. ↓, Funes Mori R. ↑,
- 70', Carrasquilla A. ↓, Ruvalcaba J. ↑,
- 72', Sanchez J. 🟨,
- 74', Lorona V. ↓, Garza J. ↑,
- 75', Parra B. ↓, Rafael Carioca ↑,
- 75', Antuna U. ↓, Cordova S. ↑,
- 80', Suarez L. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 87', Funes Mori R. 🟨,
- 88', Pussetto I. ↓, Quispe Cordova P. A. ↑,
- 89', Garza J. 🟨,
- 89', Gorriaran F. 🟨,
- 90+3', Ibanez N. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
- 90+3', Brunetta J. ↓, Vigon J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tigres UANL
49% | Draw
27.6% | UNAM
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tigres UANL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Tigres UANL - UNAM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↑
(1.82) |
3.42 ↓
(3.48) |
4.01 ↓
(4.36) |
6%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Tigres UANL - UNAM?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tigres (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Tigres UANL will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tigres won 2.
- Tigres is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Recent matches UNAM is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Tigres could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Tigres will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Tigres: Aquino J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Tigres: Gignac A.
(Leg Injury)
Guerrero R.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in UNAM: Magallan L.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Tigres won 10 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 34:20 (average 1.7:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Tigres won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 21:7 (average 2.1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Tigres UANL won against UNAM?
Tigres UANL has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Tigres UANL?
UNAM has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tigres UANL - UNAM were as follows:
01.09.2024
UNAM
-
Tigres UANL
1:3
03.02.2024
Tigres UANL
-
UNAM
2:2
10.12.2023
Tigres UANL
-
UNAM
1:1
07.12.2023
UNAM
-
Tigres UANL
0:1
27.08.2023
UNAM
-
Tigres UANL
2:1
Latest results of Tigres UANL
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Monterrey | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Pachuca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Club America | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | Toluca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Juarez | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Club Leon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Atl. San Luis | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Mazatlan FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Atlas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10:14 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Guadalajara Chivas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 | Puebla | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
