Necaxa U21 vs Tijuana U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2 penalties
20/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX U21 - Clausura - Round 12

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Ochoa E. ,
  • 19', 1 - 1, Guerrero H. ,
  • 32', 1 - 2, Gonzalez J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', 2 - 2, ,
  • 80', 🟥,
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Necaxa U21
29.2%
Draw
29.3%
Tijuana U21
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.2% 27.7% 35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 27.6% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Necaxa U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Necaxa U21's form might have worsened.
  • Tijuana U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tijuana U21's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa U21 than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Necaxa U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana U21 than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tijuana U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Necaxa U21 - Tijuana U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.11
    (2.45)
    3.1
    (3.3)
    2.19
    (2.6)
    10%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 14).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Tijuana U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Necaxa U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Necaxa U21 - Tijuana U21 were as follows:
    31.08.2025 Tijuana U21 - Necaxa U21 2:3
    Latest results of Necaxa U21
    Latest results of Tijuana U21