Chivas Guadalajara vs Tijuana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana
Result
2:1
09/02/2025 at 22:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 6
  • Referee: Gomez H. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaNBC Universo, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.401.43
Ball Possession
34%66%
Goal Attempts
1215
Shots on Goal
72
Shots off Goal
39
Blocked Shots
24
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
75
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Free Kicks
1413
Offsides
41
Fouls
1314
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Throw-ins
2223
Touches in the Opposition Box
1818
Passes
76% (199/261)89% (443/499)
Passes in the final third
67% (80/119)74% (89/120)
Crosses
17% (1/6)40% (6/15)
Tackles
71% (15/21)53% (10/19)
Clearances Total
2323
Interceptions
39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 21', Boya F. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Pulido A. , Romo L. (A),
  • 30', 2 - 0, Alvarado R. , Chavez Garcia M. (A),
  • 34', Boya F. , Tona I. ,
  • 45+8', 2 - 1, Zuniga J. , Castaneda K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Franco R. , Inzunza R. ,
  • 46', Castaneda K. , Mora G. ,
  • 46', Gomez A. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 58', Pulido A. , Gonzalez F. ,
  • 58', Camberos H. , Cowell C. ,
  • 66', Alvarado R. , Padilla Y. ,
  • 73', Zuniga J. , Blanco D. ,
  • 79', Cowell C. 🟨,
  • 81', Fernandez J. 🟥,
  • 85', Chavez Garcia M. 🟨,
  • 90', Romo L. , Brizuela I. ,
  • 90', Chavez Garcia M. , Martinez R. ,
  • 90+5', Inzunza R. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Rivera C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Chivas Guadalajara
56.8%
Draw
23.8%
Tijuana
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 25% 25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 21.4% 29.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chivas Guadalajara's performance.
  • Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tijuana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-14.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chivas Guadalajara that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tijuana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.89)
    3.97
    (3.77)
    4.85
    (3.73)
    6%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and Mexican Liga MX with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : NBC Universo
  • What is the prediction for Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana?
  • Users Predictions: Chivas Guadalajara will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.29%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 16).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Guadalajara won 3.
    • One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
    • Guadalajara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Guadalajara is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Guadalajara: Castillo J. (Red Card) Guzman V. (Leg Injury) Olivas Salcedo L. A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Guadalajara: Aguirre D. (Injury) Gomez M. (Hamstring Injury) Whalley O. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Guadalajara won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 22:24 (average 1.1:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Guadalajara won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:6 (average 1.4:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana were as follows:
    12.07.2024 Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara 4:2
    26.01.2024 Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara 1:1
    22.08.2023 Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana 1:0
    15.02.2023 Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana 2:1
    07.09.2022 Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara 1:2
    Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
    Latest results of Tijuana
    31.01.2025 Tijuana - Cruz Azul 2:3
    28.01.2025 Tigres UANL - Tijuana 4:0
    24.01.2025 Tijuana - Querétaro 2:1
    16.01.2025 Club América - Tijuana 1:1
    10.01.2025 Tijuana - Toluca 2:4
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca22007:346
    2Pachuca22006:246
    3Club America21104:224
    4Atlas21106:514
    5Mazatlan FC21102:114
    6Club Tijuana31113:4-14
    7Tigres UANL11001:013
    8Santos Laguna31025:503
    9Necaxa21014:403
    10Atl. San Luis21011:103
    11Club Leon21011:103
    12Puebla31024:5-13
    13UNAM Pumas31024:6-23
    14Monterrey21011:3-23
    15Cruz Azul20203:302
    16Juarez30212:3-12
    17Guadalajara Chivas10010:1-10
    18Queretaro30031:6-50

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