Result
3:3
22/08/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 World | VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 2.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (146/211) | 82% (345/422) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 2.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.89 | 1.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (146/211) | 82% (345/422) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (23/59) | 43% (18/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (45/71) | 74% (125/168) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 19% (6/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (20/24) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 62 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.83 | 2.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.17 | 0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Ledezma R. ↓, Mozo A. ↑,
- 5', 1 - 0, Mora G. ⚽,
- 44', Sepulveda G. 🟨,
- 45+3', Campillo Del Campo D. 🟨,
- 45+5', Preciado A. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 46', Campillo Del Campo D. ↓, Aguirre D. ↑,
- 46', Mozo A. ↓, Cowell C. ↑,
- 46', Tapias M. ↓, Alvarado R. ↑,
- 51', 2 - 0, Boya F. ⚽, Vega A. (A),
- 58', Arciga R. 🟨,
- 63', Tona I. 🟨,
- 64', 3 - 0, Mora G. ⚽,
- 69', Tona I. ↓, Mejia A. ↑,
- 70', Aguirre D. 🟨,
- 72', Aguirre D. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
- 73', Boya F. 🟨,
- 74', 3 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Gutierrez E. (A),
- 75', Castaneda K. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 75', Arciga R. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 80', Inzunza R. ↓, Corona J. ↑,
- 83', Gomez A. 🟨,
- 84', 3 - 2, Alvarez E. ⚽,
- 90+6', 3 - 3, Alvarado R. ⚽, Gomez M. (A),
Chances of winning
Tijuana
30.2% | Draw
26.7% | Chivas Guadalajara
43.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tijuana's form might have worsened.Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chivas Guadalajara's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tijuana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chivas Guadalajara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.08 ↑
(2.49) |
3.5 ↑
(3.43) |
2.18 ↓
(2.69) |
7%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Tijuana will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Guadalajara will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tijuana (votes: 1 - 25%). Guadalajara (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Tijuana has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Tijuana: Blanco D.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Chicharito
(Calf Injury)
Govea O.
(Muscle Injury)
Sepulveda L.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Tijuana: Bilbao U.
(Knock)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tijuana won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Tijuana has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Tijuana?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
09.02.2025
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Tijuana
2:1
12.07.2024
Tijuana
-
Chivas Guadalajara
4:2
26.01.2024
Tijuana
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:1
22.08.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Tijuana
1:0
15.02.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Tijuana
2:1
Latest results of Tijuana
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 31:14 | 17 | 25 |
| 2 | Monterrey | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 23:17 | 6 | 25 |
| 3 | Club America | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:11 | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21:12 | 9 | 24 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Juarez | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Pachuca | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16:18 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Atlas | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:26 | -8 | 10 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 9 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 8 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Puebla | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9:26 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
