Chivas Guadalajara vs Tijuana: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

09/02/2025 at 22:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Akron (Zapopan).

MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 6
Referee: Gomez H. (Mex)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.40	1.43
Ball Possession
34%	66%
Goal Attempts
12	15
Shots on Goal
7	2
Shots off Goal
3	9
Blocked Shots
2	4
Big Chances
5	2
Corner Kicks
7	5
Shots inside the Box
8	8
Shots outside the Box
4	7
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
Free Kicks
14	13
Offsides
4	1
Fouls
13	14
Yellow Cards
2	3
Red Cards
0	1
Throw-ins
22	23
Touches in the Opposition Box
18	18
Passes
76% (199/261)	89% (443/499)
Passes in the final third
67% (80/119)	74% (89/120)
Crosses
17% (1/6)	40% (6/15)
Tackles
71% (15/21)	53% (10/19)
Clearances Total
23	23
Interceptions
3	9

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
21', Boya F. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Pulido A. ⚽, Romo L. (A),
30', 2 - 0, Alvarado R. ⚽, Chavez Garcia M. (A),
34', Boya F. ↓, Tona I. ↑,
45+8', 2 - 1, Zuniga J. ⚽, Castaneda K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Franco R. ↓, Inzunza R. ↑,
46', Castaneda K. ↓, Mora G. ↑,
46', Gomez A. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
58', Pulido A. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
58', Camberos H. ↓, Cowell C. ↑,
66', Alvarado R. ↓, Padilla Y. ↑,
73', Zuniga J. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
79', Cowell C. 🟨,
81', Fernandez J. 🟥,
85', Chavez Garcia M. 🟨,
90', Romo L. ↓, Brizuela I. ↑,
90', Chavez Garcia M. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
90+5', Inzunza R. 🟨,
90+6', Rivera C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Chivas Guadalajara
56.8%

Draw
23.8%

Tijuana
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

25%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

21.4%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chivas Guadalajara's performance.

Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tijuana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chivas Guadalajara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tijuana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.89)	3.97 ↑ (3.77)	4.85 ↑ (3.73)	6% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Watch this match and Mexican Liga MX with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : NBC Universo

What is the prediction for Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana?

Users Predictions: Chivas Guadalajara will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 16).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Guadalajara won 3.
One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
Guadalajara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Guadalajara is a favorite.
There will not play in Guadalajara: Castillo J. (Red Card) Guzman V. (Leg Injury) Olivas Salcedo L. A. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Guadalajara: Aguirre D. (Injury) Gomez M. (Hamstring Injury) Whalley O. (Knee Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Guadalajara won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 22:24 (average 1.1:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Guadalajara won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:6 (average 1.4:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Tijuana?

Chivas Guadalajara has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Chivas Guadalajara?

Tijuana has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana were as follows:

12.07.2024 Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara 4:2

26.01.2024 Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara 1:1

22.08.2023 Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana 1:0

15.02.2023 Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana 2:1

07.09.2022 Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara 1:2

Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara

06.02.2025 Cibao - Chivas Guadalajara 1:1 ✺

01.02.2025 Chivas Guadalajara - Querétaro 1:1 ✺

28.01.2025 Club León - Chivas Guadalajara 2:1 ✺

25.01.2025 Chivas Guadalajara - Tigres UANL 1:1 ✺

17.01.2025 Necaxa - Chivas Guadalajara 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Tijuana

31.01.2025 Tijuana - Cruz Azul 2:3 ✺

28.01.2025 Tigres UANL - Tijuana 4:0 ✺

24.01.2025 Tijuana - Querétaro 2:1 ✺

16.01.2025 Club América - Tijuana 1:1 ✺

10.01.2025 Tijuana - Toluca 2:4 ✺

Mexican Liga MX Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Santos Laguna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Monterrey	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cruz Azul	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Atlas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Atl. San Luis	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Guadalajara Chivas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Necaxa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Pachuca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Toluca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Club America	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Puebla	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Tigres UANL	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	UNAM Pumas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Queretaro	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Club Tijuana	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Club Leon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Juarez	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Mazatlan FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Mexico	Amazon Prime Video
Usa	NBC Universo, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW