Tijuana vs Chivas Guadalajara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara
Result
3:3
22/08/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Apertura - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.262.33
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
1423
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
29
Passes
69% (146/211)82% (345/422)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
2.262.33
xG on target (xGOT)
2.891.83
Total shots
1423
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
59
Blocked Shots
38
Shots inside the Box
1017
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
29
Touches in opposition box
2636
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
159
Passes
69% (146/211)82% (345/422)
Long passes
39% (23/59)43% (18/42)
Passes in final third
63% (45/71)74% (125/168)
Crosses
50% (4/8)19% (6/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.781.30
Throw-ins
1128
Fouls
1015
Tackles
83% (20/24)67% (10/15)
Duels won
6452
Clearances
6213
Interceptions
010
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.832.89
Goals prevented
-1.170.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Ledezma R. , Mozo A. ,
  • 5', 1 - 0, Mora G. ,
  • 44', Sepulveda G. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Campillo Del Campo D. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Preciado A. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 46', Campillo Del Campo D. , Aguirre D. ,
  • 46', Mozo A. , Cowell C. ,
  • 46', Tapias M. , Alvarado R. ,
  • 51', 2 - 0, Boya F. , Vega A. (A),
  • 58', Arciga R. 🟨,
  • 63', Tona I. 🟨,
  • 64', 3 - 0, Mora G. ,
  • 69', Tona I. , Mejia A. ,
  • 70', Aguirre D. 🟨,
  • 72', Aguirre D. , Gomez M. ,
  • 73', Boya F. 🟨,
  • 74', 3 - 1, Gonzalez A. , Gutierrez E. (A),
  • 75', Castaneda K. , Gonzalez J. ,
  • 75', Arciga R. , Vitinho ,
  • 80', Inzunza R. , Corona J. ,
  • 83', Gomez A. 🟨,
  • 84', 3 - 2, Alvarez E. ,
  • 90+6', 3 - 3, Alvarado R. , Gomez M. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tijuana
30.2%
Draw
26.7%
Chivas Guadalajara
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 27.4% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 27.6% 34.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tijuana's form might have worsened.
  • Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chivas Guadalajara's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tijuana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chivas Guadalajara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.08
    (2.49)
    3.5
    (3.43)
    2.18
    (2.69)
    7%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tijuana will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Guadalajara will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tijuana (votes: 1 - 25%). Guadalajara (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Tijuana has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Tijuana: Blanco D. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Guadalajara: Chicharito (Calf Injury) Govea O. (Muscle Injury) Sepulveda L. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tijuana: Bilbao U. (Knock)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tijuana won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.7:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana 2:1
    12.07.2024 Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara 4:2
    26.01.2024 Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara 1:1
    22.08.2023 Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana 1:0
    15.02.2023 Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana 2:1
    Latest results of Tijuana
    16.08.2025 Pachuca - Tijuana 0:2
    09.08.2025 Mazatlan - Tijuana 2:2
    06.08.2025 Seattle Sounders - Tijuana 2:1
    03.08.2025 Colorado Rapids - Tijuana 1:2
    Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Monterrey760117:9818
    2Club America752015:6917
    3Cruz Azul752015:8717
    4Tigres UANL641116:8813
    5Toluca741216:10613
    6Pachuca741211:7413
    7Club Tijuana733113:9412
    8Juarez73227:7011
    9Club Leon73138:9-110
    10UNAM Pumas72327:8-19
    11Santos Laguna72059:11-26
    12Mazatlan FC71338:10-26
    13Atl. San Luis720510:13-36
    14Atlas712412:19-75
    15Necaxa71246:13-75
    16Guadalajara Chivas61149:12-34
    17Queretaro71157:15-84
    18Puebla71156:18-124

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