Result
2:1
09/02/2025 at 22:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 6
- Referee: Gomez H. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | NBC Universo, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.40 | 1.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (199/261) | 89% (443/499) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 67% (80/119) | 74% (89/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 40% (6/15) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 53% (10/19) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 21', Boya F. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Pulido A. ⚽, Romo L. (A),
- 30', 2 - 0, Alvarado R. ⚽, Chavez Garcia M. (A),
- 34', Boya F. ↓, Tona I. ↑,
- 45+8', 2 - 1, Zuniga J. ⚽, Castaneda K. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Franco R. ↓, Inzunza R. ↑,
- 46', Castaneda K. ↓, Mora G. ↑,
- 46', Gomez A. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
- 58', Pulido A. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
- 58', Camberos H. ↓, Cowell C. ↑,
- 66', Alvarado R. ↓, Padilla Y. ↑,
- 73', Zuniga J. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
- 79', Cowell C. 🟨,
- 81', Fernandez J. 🟥,
- 85', Chavez Garcia M. 🟨,
- 90', Romo L. ↓, Brizuela I. ↑,
- 90', Chavez Garcia M. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
- 90+5', Inzunza R. 🟨,
- 90+6', Rivera C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chivas Guadalajara
56.8% | Draw
23.8% | Tijuana
19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chivas Guadalajara's performance.Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tijuana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-14.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chivas Guadalajara that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tijuana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.89) |
3.97 ↑
(3.77) |
4.85 ↑
(3.73) |
6%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Watch this match and Mexican Liga MX with fubo (for US customers) Network on : NBC Universo
What is the prediction for Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana?
Users Predictions:
Chivas Guadalajara will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 16).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Guadalajara won 3.
- One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
- Guadalajara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Guadalajara is a favorite.
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Castillo J.
(Red Card)
Guzman V.
(Leg Injury)
Olivas Salcedo L. A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Guadalajara: Aguirre D.
(Injury)
Gomez M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Whalley O.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Guadalajara won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 22:24 (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Guadalajara won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:6 (average 1.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Tijuana?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Tijuana has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana were as follows:
12.07.2024
Tijuana
-
Chivas Guadalajara
4:2
26.01.2024
Tijuana
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:1
22.08.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Tijuana
1:0
15.02.2023
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Tijuana
2:1
07.09.2022
Tijuana
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:2
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Latest results of Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Pachuca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Club America | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Atlas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Mazatlan FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Monterrey | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Juarez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 | Guadalajara Chivas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
