Result
21/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Tubi TV |
Chances of winning
Chivas Guadalajara
69.4% | Draw
18.8% | Tijuana
11.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chivas Guadalajara's performance.Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chivas Guadalajara that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.51) |
4.89 ↑
(4) |
7.83 ↑
(5.63) |
8.6%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 2.
- Guadalajara is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tijuana's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Guadalajara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Guadalajara is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 1.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Tijuana?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Tijuana has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana were as follows:
10.02.2025
Tijuana
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:1
06.10.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Tijuana
3:1
06.01.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Tijuana
1:0
16.07.2023
Tijuana
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:1
12.05.2023
Tijuana
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:0
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Latest results of Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tigres UANL W | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 39:7 | 32 | 29 |
| 2 | Pachuca W | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 38:14 | 24 | 26 |
| 3 | Club America W | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 38:13 | 25 | 25 |
| 4 | Toluca W | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 23 |
| 5 | Monterrey W | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 23:17 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Juarez W | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 19 |
| 8 | UNAM Pumas W | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:18 | 4 | 19 |
| 9 | Club Leon W | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Atlas W | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 11 | Atl. San Luis W | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 17 |
| 12 | Cruz Azul W | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:18 | 5 | 14 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana W | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Necaxa W | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8:26 | -18 | 8 |
| 15 | Queretaro W | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12:40 | -28 | 7 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna W | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 14:27 | -13 | 5 |
| 17 | Puebla W | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5:29 | -24 | 5 |
| 18 | Mazatlan FC W | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6:36 | -30 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
