Chivas Guadalajara vs Tijuana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
21/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoTubi TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
89
Corner Kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', Borgella R. 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Castro D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', De La Rosa J. , Gonzalez Rendon I. A. ,
  • 66', Motau A. , Fuentes D. ,
  • 73', Castro D. , Montoya J. ,
  • 77', 2 - 0, Montoya J. ,
  • 77', Fong M. , Curiel A. ,
  • 83', Cervantes A. , Sandoval Trejo D. G. ,
  • 83', Valenzuela G. , Torres A. ,
  • 85', Alvarado E. 🟨,
  • 86', Hancar K. , Ceja K. ,
  • 86', Marroquin A. M. , Claiborne A. ,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 88', Quintos B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Chivas Guadalajara
73.8%
Draw
17.1%
Tijuana
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.8% 22.9% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5% 22.3% 15.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chivas Guadalajara's performance.
  • Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tijuana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chivas Guadalajara that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tijuana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.51)
    5.57
    (4)
    10.37
    (5.63)
    5.4%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.25 - Guadalajara (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Guadalajara (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 2.
    • Guadalajara is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tijuana's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Guadalajara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Guadalajara is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 1.7:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana were as follows:
    10.02.2025 Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara 1:1
    06.10.2024 Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana 3:1
    06.01.2024 Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana 1:0
    16.07.2023 Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara 1:1
    12.05.2023 Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara 1:0
    Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
    Latest results of Tijuana
    13.09.2025 Mazatlan - Tijuana 0:3
    07.09.2025 Tijuana - Santos Laguna 1:1
    30.08.2025 Tijuana - Necaxa 1:0
    25.08.2025 UNAM - Tijuana 1:0
    Mexican Liga MX Women Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Monterrey W1082029:42526
    2Pachuca W1072132:42823
    3Guadalajara Chivas W971117:51222
    4Toluca W1071222:111122
    5Club America W963023:51821
    6Tigres UANL W1063122:91321
    7UNAM Pumas W1052314:14017
    8Cruz Azul W1043321:15615
    9Club Tijuana W1043317:16115
    10Juarez W1043312:13-115
    11Mazatlan FC W1043314:16-215
    12Club Leon W1033416:16012
    13Puebla W102086:31-256
    14Santos Laguna W101277:16-95
    15Atlas W1012716:26-105
    16Atl. San Luis W101279:25-165
    17Necaxa W101094:35-313
    18Queretaro W100198:28-201

          Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)