Result
2:0
21/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Borgella R. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Castro D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', De La Rosa J. ↓, Gonzalez Rendon I. A. ↑,
- 66', Motau A. ↓, Fuentes D. ↑,
- 73', Castro D. ↓, Montoya J. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 0, Montoya J. ⚽,
- 77', Fong M. ↓, Curiel A. ↑,
- 83', Cervantes A. ↓, Sandoval Trejo D. G. ↑,
- 83', Valenzuela G. ↓, Torres A. ↑,
- 85', Alvarado E. 🟨,
- 86', Hancar K. ↓, Ceja K. ↑,
- 86', Marroquin A. M. ↓, Claiborne A. ↑,
- 86', 🟨,
- 88', Quintos B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chivas Guadalajara
73.8% | Draw
17.1% | Tijuana
9.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chivas Guadalajara's performance.Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tijuana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-11.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chivas Guadalajara that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tijuana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.24 ↓
(1.51) |
5.92 ↑
(4) |
11.62 ↑
(5.63) |
6.5%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 2.
- Guadalajara is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tijuana's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Guadalajara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Guadalajara is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 1.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Tijuana?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Tijuana has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana were as follows:
10.02.2025
Tijuana
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:1
06.10.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Tijuana
3:1
06.01.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Tijuana
1:0
16.07.2023
Tijuana
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:1
12.05.2023
Tijuana
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:0
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Latest results of Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tigres UANL W ✔ | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 53:8 | 45 | 38 |
| 2 | Pachuca W ✔ | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 52:18 | 34 | 36 |
| 3 | Club America W ✔ | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 48:19 | 29 | 32 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Toluca W | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 28:15 | 13 | 28 |
| 6 | Monterrey W | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 33:22 | 11 | 26 |
| 7 | Club Leon W | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 29:30 | -1 | 24 |
| 8 | UNAM Pumas W | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 30:24 | 6 | 22 |
| 9 | Cruz Azul W | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32:23 | 9 | 21 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis W | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 21 |
| 11 | Juarez W | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 12 | Atlas W | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21:25 | -4 | 19 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana W | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:26 | -10 | 12 |
| 14 | Queretaro W | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13:42 | -29 | 10 |
| 15 | Santos Laguna W | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15:32 | -17 | 9 |
| 16 | Necaxa W | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8:32 | -24 | 8 |
| 17 | Puebla W | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5:36 | -31 | 5 |
| 18 | Mazatlan FC W | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7:48 | -41 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tigres UANL W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Pachuca W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
