Mazatlan vs Tijuana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Mazatlan - Tijuana
Result
0:2
16/04/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Clausura - Round 16
  • Referee: Caceres V. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAzteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Fox Sports, FOX Sports Premium
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.401.46
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
87% (436/502)81% (228/282)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
0.401.46
xG on target (xGOT)
0.330.90
Total shots
711
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1010
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
87% (436/502)81% (228/282)
Long passes
43% (17/40)53% (26/49)
Passes in final third
66% (77/117)65% (48/74)
Crosses
20% (3/15)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.340.29
Fouls
1012
Tackles
56% (5/9)50% (7/14)
Duels won
3638
Clearances Total
1526
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.900.33
Goals prevented
-1.100.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Moreno Villegas O. F. 🟨,
  • 30', Colula B. , Adame G. ,
  • 44', Porozo J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 53', 0 - 1, Zuniga J. (Pen),
  • 56', Pizarro R. 🟨,
  • 56', Intriago J. , Sierra J. ,
  • 56', Pizarro R. , Lainez M. ,
  • 56', Moreno Villegas O. F. , Saavedra Nevarez A. A. ,
  • 65', Gomez A. , Tona I. ,
  • 65', Mora G. , Blanco D. ,
  • 71', Diaz J. , Camacho Lastra R. E. ,
  • 73', 0 - 2, Boya F. ,
  • 76', Arciga R. 🟨,
  • 77', Arciga R. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 78', Boya F. , Corona J. ,
  • 84', Meraz R. 🟨,
  • 85', Castaneda K. , Nicholson S. ,
  • 87', Merolla L. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Corona J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mazatlan
46.9%
Draw
25.7%
Tijuana
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 28.7% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7% 27.6% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mazatlan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mazatlan's performance.
  • Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mazatlan that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Mazatlan - Tijuana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2.28)
    3.67
    (3.27)
    3.43
    (3.13)
    6.1%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Mazatlan - Tijuana?
  • Users Predictions: Mazatlan will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 16).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Mazatlan won 1.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Mazatlan will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Mazatlan: Barcenas Y. (Knee Injury) Benedetti N. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Mazatlan: Esquivel J. (Muscle Injury) Sanchez L. (Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Mazatlan won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Mazatlan won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mazatlan - Tijuana were as follows:
    27.09.2024 Tijuana - Mazatlan 1:0
    29.03.2024 Mazatlan - Tijuana 2:0
    25.08.2023 Tijuana - Mazatlan 1:1
    14.04.2023 Mazatlan - Tijuana 1:2
    Latest results of Mazatlan
    28.03.2025 Mazatlan - Atlas 3:2
    14.03.2025 Querétaro - Mazatlan 1:0
    08.03.2025 Pachuca - Mazatlan 1:1
    Latest results of Tijuana
    04.04.2025 Tijuana - Necaxa 1:2
    29.03.2025 Monterrey - Tijuana 1:2
    09.03.2025 Tijuana - Atlas 3:4
    01.03.2025 Club León - Tijuana 2:1
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca22007:346
    2Pachuca22006:246
    3Club America21104:224
    4Atlas21106:514
    5Mazatlan FC21102:114
    6Club Tijuana31113:4-14
    7Tigres UANL11001:013
    8Santos Laguna31025:503
    9Necaxa21014:403
    10Atl. San Luis21011:103
    11Club Leon21011:103
    12Puebla31024:5-13
    13UNAM Pumas31024:6-23
    14Monterrey21011:3-23
    15Cruz Azul20203:302
    16Juarez30212:3-12
    17Guadalajara Chivas10010:1-10
    18Queretaro30031:6-50

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