Result
0:2
16/04/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 16
- Referee: Caceres V. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Fox Sports, FOX Sports Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (436/502) | 81% (228/282) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (436/502) | 81% (228/282) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (17/40) | 53% (26/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (77/117) | 65% (48/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 0.29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 38 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.10 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Moreno Villegas O. F. 🟨,
- 30', Colula B. ↓, Adame G. ↑,
- 44', Porozo J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 53', 0 - 1, Zuniga J. (Pen),
- 56', Pizarro R. 🟨,
- 56', Intriago J. ↓, Sierra J. ↑,
- 56', Pizarro R. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
- 56', Moreno Villegas O. F. ↓, Saavedra Nevarez A. A. ↑,
- 65', Gomez A. ↓, Tona I. ↑,
- 65', Mora G. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
- 71', Diaz J. ↓, Camacho Lastra R. E. ↑,
- 73', 0 - 2, Boya F. ⚽,
- 76', Arciga R. 🟨,
- 77', Arciga R. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
- 78', Boya F. ↓, Corona J. ↑,
- 84', Meraz R. 🟨,
- 85', Castaneda K. ↓, Nicholson S. ↑,
- 87', Merolla L. 🟨,
- 90+6', Corona J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mazatlan
46.9% | Draw
25.7% | Tijuana
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mazatlan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mazatlan's performance.Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mazatlan that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Mazatlan - Tijuana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.28) |
3.67 ↑
(3.27) |
3.43 ↑
(3.13) |
6.1%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Mazatlan - Tijuana?
Users Predictions:
Mazatlan will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 16).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Mazatlan won 1.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Mazatlan will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Mazatlan: Barcenas Y.
(Knee Injury)
Benedetti N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Mazatlan: Esquivel J.
(Muscle Injury)
Sanchez L.
(Injury)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Mazatlan won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Mazatlan won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:2 (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against Tijuana?
Mazatlan has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Mazatlan?
Tijuana has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mazatlan - Tijuana were as follows:
27.09.2024
Tijuana
-
Mazatlan
1:0
29.03.2024
Mazatlan
-
Tijuana
2:0
25.08.2023
Tijuana
-
Mazatlan
1:1
14.04.2023
Mazatlan
-
Tijuana
1:2
Latest results of Mazatlan
Latest results of Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Pachuca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Club America | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Atlas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Mazatlan FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Monterrey | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Juarez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 | Guadalajara Chivas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
