Result
1:1
22/02/2026 at 00:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | FOX One |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 2.08 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (347/404) | 79% (256/323) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 2.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (347/404) | 79% (256/323) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (34/53) | 41% (19/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (53/74) | 65% (47/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/30) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.05 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (17/21) | 44% (7/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Castaneda K. ⚽, Arciga R. (A),
- 41', Rivero I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', Moreno Villegas O. F. ↓, Ovalle J. ↑,
- 54', Diaz J. 🟨,
- 59', Arciga R. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 1, Ovalle J. ⚽,
- 61', Preciado A. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
- 61', Rivero I. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
- 71', Arciga R. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 76', 🟨,
- 79', El Ghezouani M. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
- 79', Inzunza R. ↓, Abreu D. ↑,
- 81', Dudu ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
- 87', Porozo J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tijuana
65.6% | Draw
20.6% | Mazatlan
13.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Mazatlan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tijuana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Tijuana - Mazatlan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↑
(1.4) |
4.57 ↓
(4.77) |
6.75 ↓
(7.39) |
6.8%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tijuana - Mazatlan?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Tijuana will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Mazatlan will win (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 2.
- Tijuana has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mazatlan has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mazatlan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Tijuana is the undeniable favorite.
- There are questionable in Tijuana: Boya F.
(Injury)
Mora G.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Mazatlan: Castro C.
(Injury)
Dudu
(Injury)
Fabio Gomes
(Inactive)
Zaleta M.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tijuana won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Mazatlan?
Tijuana has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against Tijuana?
Mazatlan has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tijuana - Mazatlan were as follows:
09.08.2025
Mazatlan
-
Tijuana
2:2
16.04.2025
Mazatlan
-
Tijuana
0:2
27.09.2024
Tijuana
-
Mazatlan
1:0
29.03.2024
Mazatlan
-
Tijuana
2:0
25.08.2023
Tijuana
-
Mazatlan
1:1
Latest results of Tijuana
Latest results of Mazatlan
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | UNAM Pumas | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Toluca | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Pachuca | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atlas | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Club America | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:3 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Tigres UANL | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Necaxa | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Club Tijuana | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Club Leon | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Puebla | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 5 |
| 16 | Juarez | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Mazatlan FC | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7:21 | -14 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
