Tijuana vs Necaxa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
30/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoTubi TV
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
204
Shots on target
81
Corner Kicks
145
Yellow Cards
14
Total shots
204
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
123
Corner Kicks
145
Goalkeeper Saves
17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Navarro Flores A. A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Estrada N. 🟨,
  • 55', 1 - 0, Hancar K. ,
  • 56', Motau A. , Marroquin A. M. ,
  • 57', Acosta M. 🟨,
  • 63', Claiborne A. , Magaia H. ,
  • 72', Fuentes D. , Hernandez I. ,
  • 72', Trevithick K. , Ceja K. ,
  • 81', Marroquin A. M. 🟨,
  • 86', Fernandez I. , Barnett J. ,
  • 86', Acosta M. , Medellin Z. ,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tijuana
74.4%
Draw
15.9%
Necaxa
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 28.4% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 27.3% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+34.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tijuana's performance.
  • Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Necaxa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-33%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tijuana that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+20.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Necaxa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tijuana - Necaxa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (2.32)
    6.49
    (3.25)
    10.7
    (2.91)
    -3.4%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Tijuana - Necaxa?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Tijuana (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Tijuana (1.52) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Tijuana will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tijuana will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Tijuana (votes: 13 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 5.
    • Tijuana has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Necaxa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Tijuana is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:8. (average 2.3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tijuana won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:2. (average 2.2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tijuana - Necaxa were as follows:
    14.02.2025 Necaxa - Tijuana 1:3
    24.07.2024 Tijuana - Necaxa 3:0
    15.04.2024 Tijuana - Necaxa 3:0
    24.07.2023 Necaxa - Tijuana 1:2
    20.03.2023 Necaxa - Tijuana 2:3
    Latest results of Tijuana
    25.08.2025 UNAM - Tijuana 1:0
    12.08.2025 Tigres UANL - Tijuana 2:0
    08.08.2025 Juárez - Tijuana 2:0
    31.07.2025 Tijuana - Atlas 2:2
    Latest results of Necaxa
    18.08.2025 Necaxa - Cruz Azul 3:3
    09.08.2025 Necaxa - Club America 0:4
    01.08.2025 Necaxa - Club León 1:1
    27.07.2025 UNAM - Necaxa 1:0
    Mexican Liga MX Women Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Monterrey W1082029:42526
    2Pachuca W1072132:42823
    3Guadalajara Chivas W971117:51222
    4Toluca W1071222:111122
    5Club America W963023:51821
    6Tigres UANL W1063122:91321
    7UNAM Pumas W1052314:14017
    8Cruz Azul W1043321:15615
    9Club Tijuana W1043317:16115
    10Juarez W1043312:13-115
    11Mazatlan FC W1043314:16-215
    12Club Leon W1033416:16012
    13Puebla W102086:31-256
    14Santos Laguna W101277:16-95
    15Atlas W1012716:26-105
    16Atl. San Luis W101279:25-165
    17Necaxa W101094:35-313
    18Queretaro W100198:28-201

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