Tijuana vs Necaxa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
30/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoTubi TV
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
204
Shots on target
81
Corner Kicks
145
Yellow Cards
14
Total shots
204
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
123
Corner Kicks
145
Goalkeeper Saves
17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Navarro Flores A. A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Estrada N. 🟨,
  • 55', 1 - 0, Hancar K. ,
  • 56', Motau A. , Marroquin A. M. ,
  • 57', Acosta M. 🟨,
  • 63', Claiborne A. , Magaia H. ,
  • 72', Fuentes D. , Hernandez I. ,
  • 72', Trevithick K. , Ceja K. ,
  • 81', Marroquin A. M. 🟨,
  • 86', Fernandez I. , Barnett J. ,
  • 86', Acosta M. , Medellin Z. ,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tijuana
74.4%
Draw
15.9%
Necaxa
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 28.4% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 27.3% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+34.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tijuana's performance.
  • Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Necaxa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-33%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tijuana that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+20.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Necaxa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tijuana - Necaxa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (2.32)
    6.49
    (3.25)
    10.7
    (2.91)
    -3.4%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Tijuana - Necaxa?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Tijuana (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.75 - Tijuana (1.52) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Tijuana will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tijuana will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Tijuana (votes: 13 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 5.
    • Tijuana has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Necaxa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Tijuana is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:8. (average 2.3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tijuana won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:2. (average 2.2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tijuana - Necaxa were as follows:
    14.02.2025 Necaxa - Tijuana 1:3
    24.07.2024 Tijuana - Necaxa 3:0
    15.04.2024 Tijuana - Necaxa 3:0
    24.07.2023 Necaxa - Tijuana 1:2
    20.03.2023 Necaxa - Tijuana 2:3
    Latest results of Tijuana
    25.08.2025 UNAM - Tijuana 1:0
    12.08.2025 Tigres UANL - Tijuana 2:0
    08.08.2025 Juárez - Tijuana 2:0
    31.07.2025 Tijuana - Atlas 2:2
    Latest results of Necaxa
    18.08.2025 Necaxa - Cruz Azul 3:3
    09.08.2025 Necaxa - Club America 0:4
    01.08.2025 Necaxa - Club León 1:1
    27.07.2025 UNAM - Necaxa 1:0
    Mexican Liga MX Women Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Monterrey W13103034:43033
    2Pachuca W1393137:63130
    3Tigres UANL W1393134:102430
    4Club America W1393134:102430
    5Toluca W1391331:161528
    6Guadalajara Chivas W1283121:81327
    7Cruz Azul W1373327:151224
    8Club Tijuana W1363422:19321
    9Juarez W1263316:13321
    10Mazatlan FC W1353517:20-318
    11UNAM Pumas W1352618:22-417
    12Club Leon W1233619:23-412
    13Atl. San Luis W1323812:28-169
    14Atlas W1222817:29-128
    15Puebla W1320116:38-326
    16Santos Laguna W1312108:24-165
    17Necaxa W1311116:44-384
    18Queretaro W1301128:38-301

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