Tijuana vs Necaxa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Women Tijuana - Necaxa
Result
1:0
30/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoTubi TV
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
204
Shots on target
81
Corner Kicks
145
Yellow Cards
14
Total shots
204
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
123
Corner Kicks
145
Goalkeeper Saves
17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Navarro Flores A. A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Estrada N. 🟨,
  • 55', 1 - 0, Hancar K. ,
  • 56', Motau A. , Marroquin A. M. ,
  • 57', Acosta M. 🟨,
  • 63', Claiborne A. , Magaia H. ,
  • 72', Fuentes D. , Hernandez I. ,
  • 72', Trevithick K. , Ceja K. ,
  • 81', Marroquin A. M. 🟨,
  • 86', Fernandez I. , Barnett J. ,
  • 86', Acosta M. , Medellin Z. ,
  • 90+7', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tijuana
74.4%
Draw
15.9%
Necaxa
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 28.4% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 27.3% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+34.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tijuana's performance.
  • Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Necaxa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-33%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tijuana that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+20.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Necaxa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tijuana - Necaxa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.16
    (2.32)
    7.32
    (3.25)
    12.66
    (2.91)
    7.8%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Tijuana - Necaxa?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Tijuana (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Tijuana will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tijuana will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 5.
    • Tijuana has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Necaxa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Tijuana is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:8. (average 2.3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tijuana won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:2. (average 2.2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tijuana - Necaxa were as follows:
    14.02.2025 Necaxa - Tijuana 1:3
    24.07.2024 Tijuana - Necaxa 3:0
    15.04.2024 Tijuana - Necaxa 3:0
    24.07.2023 Necaxa - Tijuana 1:2
    20.03.2023 Necaxa - Tijuana 2:3
    Latest results of Tijuana
    25.08.2025 UNAM - Tijuana 1:0
    12.08.2025 Tigres UANL - Tijuana 2:0
    08.08.2025 Juárez - Tijuana 2:0
    31.07.2025 Tijuana - Atlas 2:2
    Latest results of Necaxa
    18.08.2025 Necaxa - Cruz Azul 3:3
    09.08.2025 Necaxa - Club America 0:4
    01.08.2025 Necaxa - Club León 1:1
    27.07.2025 UNAM - Necaxa 1:0
    Mexican Liga MX Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tigres UANL W ✔ 15122153:84538
    2Pachuca W ✔ 15113152:183436
    3Club America W ✔ 15102348:192932
    4Guadalajara Chivas W1492323:14929
    5Toluca W1484228:151328
    6Monterrey W1582533:221126
    7Club Leon W1573529:30-124
    8UNAM Pumas W1471630:24622
    9Cruz Azul W1463532:23921
    10Atl. San Luis W1463519:20-121
    11Juarez W1455416:14220
    12Atlas W1454521:25-419
    13Club Tijuana W1533916:26-1012
    14Queretaro W1424813:42-2910
    15Santos Laguna W1423915:32-179
    16Necaxa W1422108:32-248
    17Puebla W1412115:36-315
    18Mazatlan FC W1402127:48-412

          Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Tigres UANL W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Pachuca W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Club America W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)