Result
1:0
24/09/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, VIX+, ViX Premium |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.51 | 2.10 |
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
78% (224/288) | 83% (278/336) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 4 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.51 | 2.10 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.44 | 0.19 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 12 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
22 | 28 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
78% (224/288) | 83% (278/336) |
Long passes |
---|
41% (19/46) | 42% (19/45) |
Passes in final third |
---|
70% (51/73) | 64% (54/84) |
Crosses |
---|
25% (4/16) | 30% (6/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.69 | 0.93 |
Throw-ins |
---|
24 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
65% (11/17) | 50% (10/20) |
Duels won |
---|
52 | 59 |
Clearances |
---|
26 | 26 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.19 | 2.44 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.19 | 1.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Tona I. 🟨,
- 43', Vega A. 🟨,
- 45+3', Preciado A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Vega A. ↓, Ortiz Orozco P. N. ↑,
- 46', Tona I. ↓, Escamilla K. ↑,
- 50', Amione B. 🟨,
- 57', Carrillo J. ↓, Barticciotto B. ↑,
- 57', Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
- 65', El Ghezouani M. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
- 65', Castaneda K. ↓, Bullaude E. ↑,
- 65', Arciga R. ↓, Nicholson S. ↑,
- 69', Guemez J. 🟨,
- 72', Amione B. ↓, Echeverria E. ↑,
- 83', Sordo R. ↓, Dajome C. ↑,
- 84', Barticciotto B. 🟨,
- 85', Barticciotto B. 🟨,
- 90+3', Inzunza R. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 0, Dajome C. ⚽,
- 90+6', Dajome C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Santos Laguna 28.2% | Draw 24.6% | Tijuana 47.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santos Laguna's form might have worsened.Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tijuana's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santos Laguna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tijuana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Santos Laguna - Tijuana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.34 ↑ (2.57) |
3.85 ↑ (3.6) |
2.03 ↓ (2.3) |
5.3% (10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Santos Laguna - Tijuana?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Santos Laguna will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Tijuana will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tijuana: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tijuana (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 2.
- Santos Laguna is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Tijuana has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Tijuana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Tijuana might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Santos Laguna: Jimenez T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:28. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santos Laguna won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos Laguna won against Tijuana?
Santos Laguna has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Santos Laguna?
Tijuana has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos Laguna - Tijuana were as follows:
20.04.2025
Santos Laguna
-
Tijuana
0:4
18.08.2024
Tijuana
-
Santos Laguna
3:1
15.03.2024
Tijuana
-
Santos Laguna
2:2
04.10.2023
Santos Laguna
-
Tijuana
2:1
12.03.2023
Santos Laguna
-
Tijuana
3:2
Latest results of Santos Laguna
Latest results of Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Toluca | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 31:14 | 17 | 25 |
2 | Monterrey | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 23:17 | 6 | 25 |
3 | Club America | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:11 | 12 | 24 |
4 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21:12 | 9 | 24 |
5 | Tigres UANL | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 19 |
6 | Juarez | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 18 |
7 | Pachuca | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 17 |
8 | Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
9 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 14 |
10 | UNAM Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 |
11 | Club Leon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 12 |
12 | Atl. San Luis | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16:18 | -2 | 10 |
13 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
14 | Atlas | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:26 | -8 | 10 |
15 | Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 9 |
16 | Mazatlan FC | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 8 |
17 | Queretaro | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
18 | Puebla | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9:26 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )