Result
0:4
20/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 17
- Referee: Ortiz M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (423/487) | 78% (260/332) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (423/487) | 78% (260/332) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (27/47) | 48% (31/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (104/147) | 60% (42/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 45% (9/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.86 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 38 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.98 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 16', 0 - 1, Boya F. ⚽, Arciga R. (A),
- 30', 0 - 2, Castaneda K. ⚽, Arciga R. (A),
- 42', Sordo R. ↓, Carrillo J. ↑,
- 42', Villalba F. ↓, Munoz S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 47', Boya F. 🟨,
- 54', 0 - 3, Zuniga J. ⚽, Arciga R. (A),
- 60', Dajome C. ↓, Fagundez F. ↑,
- 75', Mora G. ↓, Jhojan Julio ↑,
- 75', Arciga R. ↓, Alvarez E. ↑,
- 75', Boya F. ↓, Tona I. ↑,
- 75', Castaneda K. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
- 79', Lopez A. ↓, Lozano C. ↑,
- 80', Munoz S. ↓, Mariscal Murra S. ↑,
- 87', Gomez A. ↓, Madrigal F. ↑,
- 90', 0 - 4, Zuniga J. ⚽, Arciga R. (A),
- 90+3', Lozano C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Santos Laguna
37.4% | Draw
25.4% | Tijuana
37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santos Laguna's form might have worsened.Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tijuana's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santos Laguna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-11.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tijuana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Santos Laguna - Tijuana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↑
(2.01) |
3.76 ↑
(3.51) |
2.53 ↓
(3.57) |
5.9%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Santos Laguna - Tijuana?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tijuana (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Users Predictions:
Tijuana will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 15).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Santos Laguna won 3.
- Santos Laguna has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Tijuana is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Tijuana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Santos Laguna: Aquino P.
(Injury)
Macias J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Perez J.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Santos Laguna: Amione B.
(Knee Injury)
Medina D.
(Injury)
Naveda S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Tijuana: Alvarez E.
(Inactive)
Gomez A.
(Injury)
Inzunza R.
(Leg Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Tijuana to win the game is with odds 2.58.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Santos Laguna won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 32:25 (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Santos Laguna won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18:10 (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos Laguna won against Tijuana?
Santos Laguna has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Santos Laguna?
Tijuana has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos Laguna - Tijuana were as follows:
18.08.2024
Tijuana
-
Santos Laguna
3:1
15.03.2024
Tijuana
-
Santos Laguna
2:2
04.10.2023
Santos Laguna
-
Tijuana
2:1
12.03.2023
Santos Laguna
-
Tijuana
3:2
25.08.2022
Tijuana
-
Santos Laguna
0:2
Latest results of Santos Laguna
Latest results of Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Pachuca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Club America | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Atlas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Mazatlan FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Monterrey | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Juarez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 | Guadalajara Chivas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
