Result
1:0
24/09/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 2.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (224/288) | 83% (278/336) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 2.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 0.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (224/288) | 83% (278/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (19/46) | 42% (19/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (51/73) | 64% (54/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 50% (10/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.19 | 2.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Tona I. 🟨,
- 43', Vega A. 🟨,
- 45+3', Preciado A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Vega A. ↓, Ortiz Orozco P. N. ↑,
- 46', Tona I. ↓, Escamilla K. ↑,
- 50', Amione B. 🟨,
- 57', Carrillo J. ↓, Barticciotto B. ↑,
- 57', Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
- 65', El Ghezouani M. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
- 65', Castaneda K. ↓, Bullaude E. ↑,
- 65', Arciga R. ↓, Nicholson S. ↑,
- 69', Guemez J. 🟨,
- 72', Amione B. ↓, Echeverria E. ↑,
- 83', Sordo R. ↓, Dajome C. ↑,
- 84', Barticciotto B. 🟨,
- 85', Barticciotto B. 🟨,
- 90+3', Inzunza R. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 0, Dajome C. ⚽,
- 90+6', Dajome C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Santos Laguna
28.2% | Draw
24.6% | Tijuana
47.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santos Laguna's form might have worsened.Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tijuana's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santos Laguna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tijuana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Santos Laguna - Tijuana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.34 ↑
(2.57) |
3.85 ↑
(3.6) |
2.03 ↓
(2.3) |
5.3%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Santos Laguna - Tijuana?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Santos Laguna will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Tijuana will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tijuana: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Santos Laguna (votes: 1 - 25%). Tijuana (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Tijuana (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Santos Laguna (votes: 1 - 20%). Tijuana (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 2.
- Santos Laguna is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Tijuana has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Tijuana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Tijuana might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Santos Laguna: Jimenez T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:28. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santos Laguna won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos Laguna won against Tijuana?
Santos Laguna has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Santos Laguna?
Tijuana has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos Laguna - Tijuana were as follows:
20.04.2025
Santos Laguna
-
Tijuana
0:4
18.08.2024
Tijuana
-
Santos Laguna
3:1
15.03.2024
Tijuana
-
Santos Laguna
2:2
04.10.2023
Santos Laguna
-
Tijuana
2:1
12.03.2023
Santos Laguna
-
Tijuana
3:2
Latest results of Santos Laguna
Latest results of Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | UNAM Pumas | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Toluca | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Pachuca | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atlas | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Club America | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:3 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Tigres UANL | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Necaxa | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Club Tijuana | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Club Leon | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Puebla | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 5 |
| 16 | Juarez | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Mazatlan FC | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7:21 | -14 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
