Result
 
                    2:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        25/10/2025 at  19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga MX - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Camacho Peregrina J. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Caliente TV | 
|  Usa | Estrella TV, NBC Universo, Telemundo | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.45 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 62% | 38% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 19 | 11 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 87% (396/456) | 73% (200/275) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.45 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.93 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 19 | 11 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 11 | 7 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 14 | 10 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 5 | 1 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 37 | 14 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 10 | 13 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 87% (396/456) | 73% (200/275) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 65% (28/43) | 43% (25/58) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 75% (123/164) | 48% (23/48) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 38% (5/13) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.18 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 20 | 20 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 13 | 10 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 82% (18/22) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 42 | 43 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 11 | 16 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 11 | 11 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.64 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.93 | -1.36 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Herrera O. 🟨, 
- 33', Escamilla K. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Vega A. ↓, Preciado A. ↑, 
- 50', Castaneda K. (Pen), 
- 56', Vigon J. ↓, Correa A. ↑, 
- 61', 1 - 0, Gignac A. ⚽, Correa A. (A), 
- 68', Gignac A. ↓, Parra B. ↑, 
- 71', Mora G. ↓, Bullaude E. ↑, 
- 71', Escamilla K. ↓, Blanco D. ↑, 
- 74', 2 - 0, Correa A. ⚽, Brunetta J. (A), 
- 82', Boya F. ↓, Vitinho ↑, 
- 82', Herrera O. ↓, Flores M. ↑, 
- 82', Brunetta J. ↓, Lopez I. ↑, 
- 83', Arciga R. ↓, Corona J. ↑, 
- 84', El Ghezouani M. 🟨, 
- 86', El Ghezouani M. 🟨, 
- 90', Sanchez Guevara D. A. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Tigres UANL 61.6%
 | Draw 20.9%
 | Tijuana 17.4%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Tigres UANL - Tijuana Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.52 ↑ (1.51)
 | 4.5 ↑ (4.45)
 | 5.35 ↑ (5.15)
 | 6.6% (8.1%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Tigres UANL - Tijuana?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            4 users predict this event. Tigres will win (votes: 4 - 100%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 3.
- Tigres is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Tijuana has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Tigres is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Tigres: Farfan M.
(Red Card)
Romulo
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Tijuana: Tona I.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Tigres: Tapia F.
(Injury)
- We predict that Tigres will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 15 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:10. (average 1.8:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tigres won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:5. (average 2.2:0.5).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Tigres UANL won against Tijuana?
                    
                    
                        
                            Tigres UANL has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Tigres UANL?
                    
                    
                        
                             Tijuana has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Tigres UANL - Tijuana were as follows:
                                                        
                                28.01.2025 
                                Tigres UANL 
                                - 
                                Tijuana 
                                4:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                01.11.2024 
                                Tijuana 
                                - 
                                Tigres UANL 
                                0:3
                            
        
                                                        
                                27.04.2024 
                                Tigres UANL 
                                - 
                                Tijuana 
                                4:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                01.11.2023 
                                Tijuana 
                                - 
                                Tigres UANL 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                20.01.2023 
                                Tijuana 
                                - 
                                Tigres UANL 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Tigres UANL                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Tijuana                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Toluca ✔ | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 41:18 | 23 | 33 | 
| 2 | Tigres UANL ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 31:14 | 17 | 32 | 
| 3 | Cruz Azul ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27:17 | 10 | 32 | 
| 4 | Club America ✔ | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 31:16 | 15 | 31 | 
| 5 | Monterrey ✔ | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 30:24 | 6 | 30 | 
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 23 | 
| 7 | Pachuca | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | 2 | 22 | 
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 | 
| 9 | Juarez | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 20 | 
| 10 | Santos Laguna | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 17 | 
| 11 | Atl. San Luis | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 23:24 | -1 | 16 | 
| 12 | Atlas | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 24:33 | -9 | 16 | 
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 | 
| 14 | Queretaro | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16:28 | -12 | 14 | 
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 | 
| 16 | Necaxa | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 19:30 | -11 | 13 | 
| 17 | Club Leon | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 13 | 
| 18 | Puebla | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 19:38 | -19 | 9 | 
      Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)