Result
1:0
03/04/2026 at 23:06 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 13
- Referee: Quintero D. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | FOX+, FOX One |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.07 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (249/334) | 85% (408/481) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (249/334) | 85% (408/481) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (30/66) | 47% (22/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (49/93) | 72% (96/134) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 0.94 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (20/28) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.96 | -0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Castaneda K. ⚽, Inzunza R. (A),
- 45', Ortiz Orozco P. N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Simeone ↓, Aguirre R. ↑,
- 46', Herrera O. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
- 46', Perez A. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
- 62', Lorona V. 🟨,
- 64', Brunetta J. ↓, Araujo C. ↑,
- 71', Gomez A. 🟨,
- 71', Blanco D. 🟨,
- 71', Aguirre R. 🟨,
- 71', Lainez D. 🟨,
- 74', El Ghezouani M. ↓, Abreu D. ↑,
- 74', Arciga R. ↓, Preciado A. ↑,
- 75', Lorona V. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
- 75', Romulo ↓, Gignac A. ↑,
- 79', Castaneda K. 🟨,
- 79', Castaneda K. ↓, Bilbao U. ↑,
- 82', Tona I. 🟨,
- 90', Gorriaran F. 🟨,
- 90+1', Inzunza R. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tijuana
21.5% | Draw
26.1% | Tigres UANL
52.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Tigres UANL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Tijuana - Tigres UANL Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.34 ↑
(3.62) |
3.59 ↓
(3.67) |
1.8 ↓
(1.96) |
6.5%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Tijuana - Tigres UANL?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Tijuana will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tigres will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tijuana: 4% – 71%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 1.
- Tijuana is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tigres's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Tigres is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Tigres: Reyes F.
(Ankle Injury)
Sanchez Guevara D. A.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Tijuana: Mora G.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Tigres: Farfan M.
(Thigh Injury)
Romulo
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 11:38. (average 0.6:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tijuana won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Tigres UANL?
Tijuana has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tigres UANL won against Tijuana?
Tigres UANL has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tijuana - Tigres UANL were as follows:
29.11.2025
Tigres UANL
-
Tijuana
5:0
27.11.2025
Tijuana
-
Tigres UANL
3:0
25.10.2025
Tigres UANL
-
Tijuana
2:0
28.01.2025
Tigres UANL
-
Tijuana
4:0
01.11.2024
Tijuana
-
Tigres UANL
0:3
Latest results of Tijuana
Latest results of Tigres UANL
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas ✔ | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 27:13 | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 27 |
| 3 | Toluca | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19:8 | 11 | 26 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 25 |
| 5 | UNAM Pumas | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 23:14 | 9 | 24 |
| 6 | Club America | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:12 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Atlas | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 | Tigres UANL | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 18:15 | 3 | 17 |
| 9 | Necaxa | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Juarez | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 20:22 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15:24 | -9 | 16 |
| 12 | Club Tijuana | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 15 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 19:17 | 2 | 14 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 14 |
| 15 | Puebla | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 13 |
| 16 | Queretaro | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 12 |
| 17 | Mazatlan FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 11 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15:31 | -16 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Guadalajara Chivas is Qualified for Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
