Result
5:0
29/11/2025 at 22:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Ortiz M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | Estrella TV, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, NBC Universo, Peacock, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.20 | 0.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 14 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (299/367) | 76% (239/314) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.20 | 0.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.32 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 14 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 22 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (299/367) | 76% (239/314) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (19/50) | 40% (22/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (102/151) | 55% (36/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (6/28) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 100% (12/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 4.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 9', Porozo J. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 0, Ibanez N. ⚽, Garza J. (A),
- 21', Ibanez N. 🟨,
- 30', 2 - 0, Brunetta J. (Pen),
- 39', Gomez A. 🟨,
- 39', 3 - 0, Brunetta J. ⚽, Ibanez N. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Blanco D. ↓, Preciado A. ↑,
- 46', Vega A. ↓, Ortiz Orozco P. N. ↑,
- 60', Ibanez N. ↓, Joaquim ↑,
- 65', Gignac A. ↓, Herrera O. ↑,
- 65', Gomez A. ↓, Castaneda K. ↑,
- 68', Herrera O. (Pen),
- 70', Arciga R. 🟨,
- 71', Castaneda K. 🟨,
- 71', Joaquim 🟨,
- 73', Arciga R. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 74', 4 - 0, Herrera O. ⚽,
- 77', Gorriaran F. ↓, Vigon J. ↑,
- 77', Angulo J. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
- 77', Farfan M. ↓, Aquino J. ↑,
- 78', Herrera O. 🟨,
- 82', El Ghezouani M. ↓, Bullaude E. ↑,
- 82', Bilbao U. 🟨,
- 87', Lainez D. 🟨,
- 90+3', 5 - 0, Vigon J. ⚽, Brunetta J. (A),
Chances of winning
Tigres UANL
71.3% | Draw
17.6% | Tijuana
11.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tigres UANL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tigres UANL's performance.Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tigres UANL that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Tigres UANL - Tijuana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.5) |
5.44 ↑
(4.47) |
8.3 ↑
(5.92) |
5.9%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Tigres UANL - Tijuana?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.25 - Tigres (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Tigres (1.91) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tigres (votes: 3 - 75%). Tijuana (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-3. 2nd leg.
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 4.
- Tigres is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tijuana's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Tigres may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Tigres is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Tigres: Brunetta J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Tijuana: Boya F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Tigres: Tapia F.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 15 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:11. (average 1.8:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tigres won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:3. (average 2.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tigres UANL won against Tijuana?
Tigres UANL has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against Tigres UANL?
Tijuana has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tigres UANL - Tijuana were as follows:
27.11.2025
Tijuana
-
Tigres UANL
3:0
25.10.2025
Tigres UANL
-
Tijuana
2:0
28.01.2025
Tigres UANL
-
Tijuana
4:0
01.11.2024
Tijuana
-
Tigres UANL
0:3
27.04.2024
Tigres UANL
-
Tijuana
4:1
Latest results of Tigres UANL
Latest results of Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | UNAM Pumas | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Toluca | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Pachuca | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atlas | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Club America | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:3 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Tigres UANL | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Necaxa | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Club Tijuana | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Club Leon | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Puebla | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 5 |
| 16 | Juarez | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Mazatlan FC | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7:21 | -14 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
