Result
4:1
02/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Quintero M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Las Estrellas, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (385/439) | 88% (344/391) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (385/439) | 88% (344/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (24/44) | 71% (35/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (90/122) | 78% (77/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 58% (14/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | -2.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Macias J. ⚽, Angulo A. (A),
- 21', Arciga R. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 37', Boya F. ↓, Leyva C. ↑,
- 42', 2 - 0, Angulo A. ⚽, Ruvalcaba J. (A),
- 44', 3 - 0, Lopez R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Macias J. ↓, Vite P. ↑,
- 64', 3 - 1, Castaneda K. (Pen),
- 67', Ruvalcaba J. ↓, Monroy P. ↑,
- 71', 4 - 1, Duarte R. ⚽,
- 77', Carrasquilla A. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
- 77', Medina A. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
- 77', Lopez R. ↓, Rico A. ↑,
- 79', Garcia S. 🟨,
- 79', Vega A. 🟨,
- 79', Monroy P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
UNAM
57.5% | Draw
23.5% | Tijuana
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
UNAM - Tijuana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.82) |
4.01 ↑
(3.7) |
4.83 ↑
(3.95) |
4.8%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for UNAM - Tijuana?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. UNAM (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
UNAM will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 2.
- Recent form of UNAM has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Tijuana's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, UNAM is the team to beat.
- There will not play in UNAM: Martinez G.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Tijuana: El Ghezouani M.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in UNAM: Ramsey A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:11. (average 1.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Tijuana?
UNAM has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against UNAM?
Tijuana has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UNAM - Tijuana were as follows:
25.02.2025
Tijuana
-
UNAM
4:2
22.09.2024
UNAM
-
Tijuana
1:0
10.03.2024
UNAM
-
Tijuana
3:3
30.06.2023
Tijuana
-
UNAM
2:3
27.01.2023
Tijuana
-
UNAM
0:0
Latest results of Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca ✔ | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 43:18 | 25 | 37 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL ✔ | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 35:16 | 19 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul ✔ | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 32:20 | 12 | 35 |
| 4 | Club America ✔ | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 33:18 | 15 | 34 |
| 5 | Monterrey ✔ | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 33:29 | 4 | 31 |
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas ✔ | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana ✔ | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 29:23 | 6 | 24 |
| 8 | Juarez ✔ | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27:28 | -1 | 23 |
| 9 | Pachuca ✔ | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 21 |
| 11 | Queretaro | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:29 | -10 | 20 |
| 12 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 17 |
| 13 | Necaxa | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 24:32 | -8 | 17 |
| 14 | Atlas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 24:35 | -11 | 17 |
| 15 | Atl. San Luis | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 25:29 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | -9 | 14 |
| 17 | Club Leon | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14:31 | -17 | 13 |
| 18 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 21:42 | -21 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Guadalajara Chivas is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club Tijuana is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In )
Juarez is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In )
Pachuca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In )
