Result
4:2
25/02/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 9
- Referee: Perez S. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Caliente TV |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 12 | 25 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (374/464) | 74% (294/399) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 66% (70/106) | 59% (77/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 24% (5/21) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 70% (16/23) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Castaneda K. ⚽, Nicholson S. (A),
- 3', 2 - 0, Alvarez E. ⚽, Nicholson S. (A),
- 37', 3 - 0, Nicholson S. ⚽, Gomez A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Galindo J. ↓, Rico A. ↑,
- 46', Lopez R. ↓, Funes Mori R. ↑,
- 46', Boya F. ↓, Mora G. ↑,
- 46', Zuniga J. ↓, Vega A. ↑,
- 46', Alvarez E. ↓, Jhojan Julio ↑,
- 47', 4 - 0, Vega A. ⚽, Castaneda K. (A),
- 52', Porozo J. ↓, Mejia A. ↑,
- 58', Bilbao U. ↓, Madrigal F. ↑,
- 61', Lopez S. ↓, Trigos S. ↑,
- 64', 4 - 1, Pussetto I. ⚽,
- 68', Tona I. 🟨,
- 77', Pussetto I. ↓, Avila A. ↑,
- 77', Duarte R. ↓, Azuaje A. ↑,
- 81', Gomez A. 🟨,
- 83', Funes Mori R. 🟨,
- 90+1', 4 - 2, Trigos S. ⚽, Carrasquilla A. (A),
- 90+5', Nicholson S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tijuana
44.4% | Draw
25.4% | UNAM
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tijuana's performance.UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UNAM might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tijuana that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UNAM could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tijuana - UNAM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↓
(2.63) |
3.68 ↑
(3.5) |
3.16 ↑
(2.52) |
5.9%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Tijuana - UNAM?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Tijuana will win (votes: 12 - 75%). UNAM will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tijuana: 53.8% – 96.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tijuana won 0.
- Tijuana has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches UNAM is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Tijuana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Tijuana is a favorite.
- There will not play in UNAM: Magallan L.
(Injury)
Nathan Silva
(Ankle Injury)
Quispe Cordova P. A.
(Red Card)
Ruvalcaba J.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in UNAM: Rodriguez M.
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Tijuana won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 24:25 (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Tijuana won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:7 (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against UNAM?
Tijuana has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Tijuana?
UNAM has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tijuana - UNAM were as follows:
22.09.2024
UNAM
-
Tijuana
1:0
10.03.2024
UNAM
-
Tijuana
3:3
30.06.2023
Tijuana
-
UNAM
2:3
27.01.2023
Tijuana
-
UNAM
0:0
Latest results of Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pachuca | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Toluca | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Club America | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Santos Laguna | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Necaxa | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Mazatlan FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | UNAM Pumas | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Atlas | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 13 | Guadalajara Chivas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Club Leon | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 16 | Puebla | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 3 |
| 17 | Juarez | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 | Queretaro | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
