Result
4:1
02/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Quintero M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Las Estrellas, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (385/439) | 88% (344/391) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (385/439) | 88% (344/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (24/44) | 71% (35/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (90/122) | 78% (77/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 58% (14/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | -2.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Macias J. ⚽, Angulo A. (A),
- 21', Arciga R. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 37', Boya F. ↓, Leyva C. ↑,
- 42', 2 - 0, Angulo A. ⚽, Ruvalcaba J. (A),
- 44', 3 - 0, Lopez R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', Macias J. ↓, Vite P. ↑,
- 64', 3 - 1, Castaneda K. (Pen),
- 67', Ruvalcaba J. ↓, Monroy P. ↑,
- 71', 4 - 1, Duarte R. ⚽,
- 77', Carrasquilla A. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
- 77', Medina A. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
- 77', Lopez R. ↓, Rico A. ↑,
- 79', Garcia S. 🟨,
- 79', Vega A. 🟨,
- 79', Monroy P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
UNAM
57.5% | Draw
23.5% | Tijuana
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
UNAM - Tijuana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.82) |
4.01 ↑
(3.7) |
4.83 ↑
(3.95) |
4.8%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for UNAM - Tijuana?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. UNAM (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
UNAM will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 2.
- Recent form of UNAM has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Tijuana's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, UNAM is the team to beat.
- There will not play in UNAM: Martinez G.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Tijuana: El Ghezouani M.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in UNAM: Ramsey A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:11. (average 1.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Tijuana?
UNAM has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against UNAM?
Tijuana has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UNAM - Tijuana were as follows:
25.02.2025
Tijuana
-
UNAM
4:2
22.09.2024
UNAM
-
Tijuana
1:0
10.03.2024
UNAM
-
Tijuana
3:3
30.06.2023
Tijuana
-
UNAM
2:3
27.01.2023
Tijuana
-
UNAM
0:0
Latest results of Tijuana
Draw
Apertura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Toluca (1) | Juarez (8) | 0 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Club America (4) | Monterrey (5) | 2 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Tigres UANL (2) | Club Tijuana (7) | 0 : 3 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul (3) | Guadalajara Chivas (6) | 0 : 0 |
