Tijuana vs UNAM: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

25/02/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Caliente (Tijuana).

MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 9
Referee: Perez S. (Mex)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.82	1.50
Ball Possession
53%	47%
Goal Attempts
10	16
Shots on Goal
5	6
Shots off Goal
4	7
Blocked Shots
1	3
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
2	11
Shots inside the Box
6	9
Shots outside the Box
4	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
4	1
Free Kicks
11	12
Offsides
6	1
Fouls
12	11
Yellow Cards
3	1
Throw-ins
23	20
Touches in the Opposition Box
12	25
Passes
81% (374/464)	74% (294/399)
Passes in the final third
66% (70/106)	59% (77/130)
Crosses
25% (1/4)	24% (5/21)
Tackles
56% (10/18)	70% (16/23)
Clearances Total
30	18
Interceptions
8	5

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Castaneda K. ⚽, Nicholson S. (A),
3', 2 - 0, Alvarez E. ⚽, Nicholson S. (A),
37', 3 - 0, Nicholson S. ⚽, Gomez A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Galindo J. ↓, Rico A. ↑,
46', Lopez R. ↓, Funes Mori R. ↑,
46', Boya F. ↓, Mora G. ↑,
46', Zuniga J. ↓, Vega A. ↑,
46', Alvarez E. ↓, Jhojan Julio ↑,
47', 4 - 0, Vega A. ⚽, Castaneda K. (A),
52', Porozo J. ↓, Mejia A. ↑,
58', Bilbao U. ↓, Madrigal F. ↑,
61', Lopez S. ↓, Trigos S. ↑,
64', 4 - 1, Pussetto I. ⚽,
68', Tona I. 🟨,
77', Pussetto I. ↓, Avila A. ↑,
77', Duarte R. ↓, Azuaje A. ↑,
81', Gomez A. 🟨,
83', Funes Mori R. 🟨,
90+1', 4 - 2, Trigos S. ⚽, Carrasquilla A. (A),
90+5', Nicholson S. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Tijuana
44.4%

Draw
25.4%

UNAM
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

26.9%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

27.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tijuana's performance.

UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UNAM might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tijuana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UNAM could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tijuana - UNAM Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.63)	3.68 ↑ (3.5)	3.16 ↑ (2.52)	5.9% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Tijuana - UNAM?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Tijuana will win (votes: 12 - 75%). UNAM will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tijuana: 53.8% – 96.2%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Tijuana won 0.
Tijuana has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches UNAM is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Tijuana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Tijuana is a favorite.
There will not play in UNAM: Magallan L. (Injury) Nathan Silva (Ankle Injury) Quispe Cordova P. A. (Red Card) Ruvalcaba J. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in UNAM: Rodriguez M. (Ankle Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Tijuana won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 24:25 (average 1.2:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Tijuana won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:7 (average 1.3:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against UNAM?

Tijuana has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Tijuana?

UNAM has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tijuana - UNAM were as follows:

22.09.2024 UNAM - Tijuana 1:0

10.03.2024 UNAM - Tijuana 3:3

30.06.2023 Tijuana - UNAM 2:3

27.01.2023 Tijuana - UNAM 0:0

Latest results of Tijuana

21.02.2025 Puebla - Tijuana 2:0 ✺

14.02.2025 Tijuana - Juárez 1:2 ✺

09.02.2025 Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana 2:1 ✺

31.01.2025 Tijuana - Cruz Azul 2:3 ✺

28.01.2025 Tigres UANL - Tijuana 4:0 ✺

Latest results of UNAM

22.02.2025 UNAM - Club América 0:2 ✺

16.02.2025 Pachuca - UNAM 2:1 ✺

13.02.2025 UNAM - Cavalry 2:0 ✺

09.02.2025 UNAM - Mazatlan 1:0 ✺

06.02.2025 Cavalry - UNAM 2:1 ✺

Mexican Liga MX Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Santos Laguna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Monterrey	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cruz Azul	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Atlas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Atl. San Luis	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Guadalajara Chivas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Necaxa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Pachuca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Toluca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Club America	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Puebla	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Tigres UANL	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	UNAM Pumas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Queretaro	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Club Tijuana	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Club Leon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Juarez	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Mazatlan FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Tijuana - UNAM?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Mexico	Caliente TV
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	TUDN