Result
4:2
25/02/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 9
- Referee: Perez S. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Mexico | Caliente TV |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Usa | TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.82 | 1.50 |
Ball Possession |
---|
53% | 47% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
10 | 16 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
5 | 6 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
4 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 11 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 12 |
Offsides |
---|
6 | 1 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 11 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 1 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 20 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
---|
12 | 25 |
Passes |
---|
81% (374/464) | 74% (294/399) |
Passes in the final third |
---|
66% (70/106) | 59% (77/130) |
Crosses |
---|
25% (1/4) | 24% (5/21) |
Tackles |
---|
56% (10/18) | 70% (16/23) |
Clearances Total |
---|
30 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Castaneda K. ⚽, Nicholson S. (A),
- 3', 2 - 0, Alvarez E. ⚽, Nicholson S. (A),
- 37', 3 - 0, Nicholson S. ⚽, Gomez A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Galindo J. ↓, Rico A. ↑,
- 46', Lopez R. ↓, Funes Mori R. ↑,
- 46', Boya F. ↓, Mora G. ↑,
- 46', Zuniga J. ↓, Vega A. ↑,
- 46', Alvarez E. ↓, Jhojan Julio ↑,
- 47', 4 - 0, Vega A. ⚽, Castaneda K. (A),
- 52', Porozo J. ↓, Mejia A. ↑,
- 58', Bilbao U. ↓, Madrigal F. ↑,
- 61', Lopez S. ↓, Trigos S. ↑,
- 64', 4 - 1, Pussetto I. ⚽,
- 68', Tona I. 🟨,
- 77', Pussetto I. ↓, Avila A. ↑,
- 77', Duarte R. ↓, Azuaje A. ↑,
- 81', Gomez A. 🟨,
- 83', Funes Mori R. 🟨,
- 90+1', 4 - 2, Trigos S. ⚽, Carrasquilla A. (A),
- 90+5', Nicholson S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tijuana 44.4% | Draw 25.4% | UNAM 30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tijuana's performance.UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UNAM might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tijuana that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UNAM could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tijuana - UNAM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.13 ↓ (2.63) |
3.68 ↑ (3.5) |
3.16 ↑ (2.52) |
5.9% (6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Tijuana - UNAM?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Tijuana will win (votes: 12 - 75%). UNAM will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tijuana: 53.8% – 96.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tijuana won 0.
- Tijuana has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches UNAM is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Tijuana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Tijuana is a favorite.
- There will not play in UNAM: Magallan L.
(Injury)
Nathan Silva
(Ankle Injury)
Quispe Cordova P. A.
(Red Card)
Ruvalcaba J.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in UNAM: Rodriguez M.
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Tijuana won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 24:25 (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Tijuana won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:7 (average 1.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Tijuana won against UNAM?
Tijuana has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Tijuana?
UNAM has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tijuana - UNAM were as follows:
22.09.2024
UNAM
-
Tijuana
1:0
10.03.2024
UNAM
-
Tijuana
3:3
30.06.2023
Tijuana
-
UNAM
2:3
27.01.2023
Tijuana
-
UNAM
0:0
Latest results of Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Toluca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
2 | Pachuca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
3 | Club America | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
4 | Atlas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
5 | Mazatlan FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
6 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
7 | Tigres UANL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Necaxa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
10 | Atl. San Luis | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
11 | Club Leon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
13 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
14 | Monterrey | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
15 | Cruz Azul | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
16 | Juarez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
17 | Guadalajara Chivas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
18 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )