Tijuana vs UNAM – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Tijuana - UNAM
Result
4:2
25/02/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 9
  • Referee: Perez S. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
usaUsaTUDN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.50
Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
1016
Shots on Goal
56
Shots off Goal
47
Blocked Shots
13
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
211
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
41
Free Kicks
1112
Offsides
61
Fouls
1211
Yellow Cards
31
Throw-ins
2320
Touches in the Opposition Box
1225
Passes
81% (374/464)74% (294/399)
Passes in the final third
66% (70/106)59% (77/130)
Crosses
25% (1/4)24% (5/21)
Tackles
56% (10/18)70% (16/23)
Clearances Total
3018
Interceptions
85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Castaneda K. , Nicholson S. (A),
  • 3', 2 - 0, Alvarez E. , Nicholson S. (A),
  • 37', 3 - 0, Nicholson S. , Gomez A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Galindo J. , Rico A. ,
  • 46', Lopez R. , Funes Mori R. ,
  • 46', Boya F. , Mora G. ,
  • 46', Zuniga J. , Vega A. ,
  • 46', Alvarez E. , Jhojan Julio ,
  • 47', 4 - 0, Vega A. , Castaneda K. (A),
  • 52', Porozo J. , Mejia A. ,
  • 58', Bilbao U. , Madrigal F. ,
  • 61', Lopez S. , Trigos S. ,
  • 64', 4 - 1, Pussetto I. ,
  • 68', Tona I. 🟨,
  • 77', Pussetto I. , Avila A. ,
  • 77', Duarte R. , Azuaje A. ,
  • 81', Gomez A. 🟨,
  • 83', Funes Mori R. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 4 - 2, Trigos S. , Carrasquilla A. (A),
  • 90+5', Nicholson S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tijuana
44.4%
Draw
25.4%
UNAM
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 26.9% 37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 27.6% 36.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tijuana's performance.
  • UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UNAM might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tijuana that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UNAM could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tijuana - UNAM Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.63)
    3.68
    (3.5)
    3.16
    (2.52)
    5.9%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Tijuana - UNAM?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Tijuana will win (votes: 12 - 75%). UNAM will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tijuana: 53.8%96.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tijuana won 0.
    • Tijuana has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches UNAM is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Tijuana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Tijuana is a favorite.
    • There will not play in UNAM: Magallan L. (Injury) Nathan Silva (Ankle Injury) Quispe Cordova P. A. (Red Card) Ruvalcaba J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in UNAM: Rodriguez M. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Tijuana won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 24:25 (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tijuana won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:7 (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tijuana - UNAM were as follows:
    22.09.2024 UNAM - Tijuana 1:0
    10.03.2024 UNAM - Tijuana 3:3
    30.06.2023 Tijuana - UNAM 2:3
    27.01.2023 Tijuana - UNAM 0:0
    Latest results of Tijuana
    21.02.2025 Puebla - Tijuana 2:0
    14.02.2025 Tijuana - Juárez 1:2
    31.01.2025 Tijuana - Cruz Azul 2:3
    28.01.2025 Tigres UANL - Tijuana 4:0
    Latest results of UNAM
    22.02.2025 UNAM - Club América 0:2
    16.02.2025 Pachuca - UNAM 2:1
    13.02.2025 UNAM - Cavalry 2:0
    09.02.2025 UNAM - Mazatlan 1:0
    06.02.2025 Cavalry - UNAM 2:1
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca1181231:141725
    2Monterrey1181223:17625
    3Club America1173123:111224
    4Cruz Azul1073021:12924
    5Tigres UANL1054119:91019
    6Juarez1153315:12318
    7Pachuca1152415:13217
    8Club Tijuana1044219:11816
    9Guadalajara Chivas1142516:17-114
    10UNAM Pumas1134414:17-313
    11Club Leon1133510:18-812
    12Atl. San Luis1131716:18-210
    13Santos Laguna1131713:18-510
    14Atlas1124518:26-810
    15Necaxa1123611:20-99
    16Mazatlan FC1115513:20-78
    17Queretaro1022611:18-78
    18Puebla111289:26-175

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