Result
1:0
17/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Ramadani B. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 0, Sadik B. ⚽,
- 31', Milovanovikj D. 🟨,
- 33', Milaj A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mehmed A. ↓, Hayvali M. ↑,
- 46', Stankovski M. ↓, Ribeiro L. ↑,
- 51', Mojsov D. 🟨,
- 66', Adili D. ↓, Enuz V. ↑,
- 72', Milovanovikj D. ↓, Bentley ↑,
- 73', Ackovski K. ↓, Jonus R. ↑,
- 73', Muharem S. ↓, Shuku E. ↑,
- 73', Destani A. ↓, Nazifi Z. ↑,
- 90+1', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Tikveš
65.5% | Draw
22.8% | Shkupi
11.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tikveš has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tikveš's performance.Shkupi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shkupi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tikveš than the current prediction. (-14.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tikveš that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shkupi than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shkupi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tikveš - Shkupi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.82) |
4.19 ↑
(3.2) |
8.15 ↑
(4.1) |
4.7%
(10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Tikveš - Shkupi?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tikveš (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Tikveš will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. MFL and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. MFL).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tikveš won 2.
- Tikveš is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Shkupi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Shkupi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Tikveš is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tikveš won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tikveš won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Tikveš won against Shkupi?
Tikveš has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shkupi won against Tikveš?
Shkupi has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tikveš - Shkupi were as follows:
11.05.2025
Shkupi
-
Tikveš
1:1
05.03.2025
Tikveš
-
Shkupi
1:0
27.10.2024
Shkupi
-
Tikveš
3:1
28.04.2024
Shkupi
-
Tikveš
3:2
17.04.2024
Tikveš
-
Shkupi
1:0
North Macedonian 1 MFL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Struga | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 20:3 | 17 | 22 |
| 2 | Vardar | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 20:8 | 12 | 20 |
| 3 | Shkendija | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15:4 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Sileks | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 17:8 | 9 | 15 |
| 5 | Bashkimi | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 14 |
| 6 | Brera Strumica | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:15 | -5 | 11 |
| 7 | Makedonija GP | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 8 | Arsimi | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Tikves | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 8 |
| 10 | Pelister | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:18 | -11 | 6 |
| 11 | Rabotnicki | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 4 |
| 12 | Shkupi | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5:22 | -17 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
1. MFL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. MFL
