Tiller vs Surnadal IL – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
18/10/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 3 - Group 2 - Round 25

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', 1 - 1, ,
  • 80', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Tiller
40.8%
Draw
20.5%
Surnadal IL
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 20.4% 37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 19.4% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tiller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Surnadal IL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiller than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Surnadal IL than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Tiller - Surnadal IL Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.16)
    4.44
    (4.49)
    2.35
    (2.46)
    9.8%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).
    • Tiller is Relegated to
    • Surnadal is Relegated to
    • Tiller is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Surnadal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tiller won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Tiller won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tiller - Surnadal IL were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Surnadal IL - Tiller 2:0
    04.05.2024 Tiller - Surnadal IL 4:1
    Latest results of Tiller
    11.10.2025 Kvik - Tiller 4:0
    06.10.2025 Tiller - Rosenborg II 2:5
    27.09.2025 Trygg Lade - Tiller 1:0
    20.09.2025 Tiller - Volda 2:3
    14.09.2025 Molde 2 - Tiller 6:1
    Latest results of Surnadal IL
    04.10.2025 Melhus - Surnadal IL 1:1
    27.09.2025 Surnadal IL - Nardo 4:1
    20.09.2025 Byåsen - Surnadal IL 1:1
    13.09.2025 Volda - Surnadal IL 5:0
    Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trygg/Lade26204273:225164
    2Melhus26183569:333657
    3Volda TI26165571:373453
    4Spjelkavik26156569:373251
    5Rosenborg 226154763:392449
    6Aalesund 2261221254:66-1238
    7Nardo26107951:43837
    8Byasen2698940:41-135
    9Molde 2261011563:76-1331
    10Ranheim 226851356:60-429
    11FK Kvik26691140:48-827
    12Kristiansund 226391420:59-3918
    13Surnadal26271735:89-5413
    14Tiller26142134:88-547

          Promotion
          Relegation