Timofey Skatov vs Akira Santillan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Jinan Challenger Men Timofey Skatov - Akira Santillan
Result
0:2
05/10/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
47
Double Faults
56
1st Serve Percentage
55%64%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (22/34)80% (36/45)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (13/28)44% (11/25)
Break Points Saved
57% (4/7)80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
20% (9/45)35% (12/34)
2nd Return Points Won
56% (14/25)54% (15/28)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)43% (3/7)
Service Points Won
56% (35/62)68% (46/68)
Return Points Won
32% (22/68)44% (27/62)
Total Points Won
44% (57/130)56% (73/130)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
30
Service Games Won
67% (6/9)90% (9/10)
Return Games Won
10% (1/10)33% (3/9)
Total Games Won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Timofey Skatov
59.2%
Akira Santillan
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6% 50.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Timofey Skatov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Timofey Skatov's performance.
  • Akira Santillan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Akira Santillan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Timofey Skatov that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akira Santillan than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Akira Santillan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Timofey Skatov - Akira Santillan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.84)

    2.32
    (1.85)
    5.9%
    (8.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Skatov is ranked ATP: 233. Santillan is ranked ATP: 456.
    • Skatov has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Santillan is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Santillan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • We predict that Santillan will win today's game, with odds of 2.12.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Timofey Skatov
    Latest results of Akira Santillan
    19.09.2025 Petr Bar-Biryukov - Akira Santillan Bar Biryukov P. walkover
    12.09.2025 Akira Santillan - Kuan-Yi Lee Santillan A. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Blanchet U.2 : 0
    2O'Connell C. (RET.)Draxl L.1 : 0
    3Yevseyev D. (Q)Hijikata R.0 : 2
    4Zhou Y. (WC)Schoolkate T. (5)2 : 0
    5Svrcina D. (4)Tomic B.1 : 2
    6Watanuki Y.Harris B.1 : 2
    7Jacquet K. (Q)Samrej K. (Q)2 : 0
    8McCabe J. (Alt)Mochizuki S. (7)0 : 2
    9Duckworth J. (8)Smith C.0 : 2
    10Droguet T.Cui J. (WC)2 : 0
    11Bar Biryukov P. (Q)Daniel T.2 : 1
    12Wong C.Djere L. (3)2 : 0
    13McDonald M. (6)Mayot H.2 : 0
    14Kotov P. (Q)Holmgren A.2 : 0
    15Holt B.Zhukov M. (Q)2 : 1
    16Sun F. (WC)Walton A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Draxl L.2 : 0
    2Hijikata R.Zhou Y.1 : 2
    3Tomic B.Harris B.2 : 1
    4Jacquet K.Mochizuki S. (7)0 : 2
    5Smith C.Droguet T.2 : 1
    6Bar Biryukov P.Wong C.2 : 1
    7McDonald M. (6)Kotov P.2 : 0
    8Holt B.Walton A. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Zhou Y.2 : 1
    2Tomic B.Mochizuki S. (7)0 : 2
    3Smith C.Bar Biryukov P.0 : 2
    4McDonald M. (6)Holt B.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Cazaux A. (1)Mochizuki S. (7)2 : 0
    2Bar Biryukov P.McDonald M. (6)0 : 2

    Final
    1Cazaux A. (1)McDonald M. (6)2 : 0