Tina Nadine Smith vs Deborah Chiesa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Rende Challenger Women Tina Nadine Smith - Deborah Chiesa
Result
1:2
29/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Rende - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
23
Double Faults
32
1st Serve Percentage
70%54%
1st Serve Points Won
54% (34/63)59% (27/46)
2nd Serve Points Won
41% (11/27)46% (18/39)
Break Points Saved
42% (5/12)50% (6/12)
1st Return Points Won
43% (20/46)44% (28/63)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (21/39)59% (16/27)
Break Points Converted
50% (6/12)58% (7/12)
Service Points Won
50% (45/90)53% (45/85)
Return Points Won
47% (40/85)50% (45/90)
Total Points Won
49% (85/175)51% (90/175)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
50% (7/14)57% (8/14)
Return Games Won
43% (6/14)50% (7/14)
Total Games Won
46% (13/28)54% (15/28)

Chances of winning


Tina Nadine Smith
60.2%
Deborah Chiesa
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 49.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tina Nadine Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tina Nadine Smith's performance.
  • Deborah Chiesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deborah Chiesa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tina Nadine Smith than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tina Nadine Smith that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deborah Chiesa than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deborah Chiesa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tina Nadine Smith - Deborah Chiesa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.84)

    2.34
    (1.85)
    7.2%
    (8.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Smith is ranked WTA: 281. Chiesa is ranked WTA: 667.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Chiesa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Tina Nadine Smith
    Latest results of Deborah Chiesa
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Sherif M. (1)Pieri T. (WC)2 : 0
    2Lazaro Garcia A.Zidansek T.0 : 2
    3Abbagnato A. (Q)Fossa Huergo N. (WC)2 : 0
    4Zantedeschi A. (WC)Romero Gormaz L. (8)2 : 1
    5Waltert S. (3)Kraus S.2 : 1
    6Lemaitre T. (Q)Kung L. (LL)2 : 0
    7Koevermans A.Radivojevic L.0 : 2
    8Chiesa D. (Q)Grabher J. (6)0 : 2
    9Pera B. (5)Branstine C.0 : 2
    10Brancaccio N.Palicova B.2 : 1
    11Trevisan M. (WC)Bolsova Zadoinov A.0 : 2
    12Gorgodze E.Bejlek S. (4)0 : 2
    13Selekhmeteva O. (7)Oliynykova O.2 : 0
    14Barthel M.Kostovic T. (Q)0 : 2
    15Chwalinska M.Ambrosio S.2 : 0
    16Maristany G.Semenistaja D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sherif M. (1)Zidansek T.0 : 2
    2Abbagnato A.Zantedeschi A.2 : 1
    3Waltert S. (3)Lemaitre T.2 : 0
    4Radivojevic L.Grabher J. (6)2 : 0
    5Branstine C.Brancaccio N.0 : 2
    6Bolsova Zadoinov A.Bejlek S. (4)0 : 2
    7Selekhmeteva O. (7)Kostovic T.2 : 1
    8Chwalinska M.Semenistaja D. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Zidansek T.Abbagnato A.2 : 0
    2Waltert S. (3)Radivojevic L.0 : 2
    3Brancaccio N.Bejlek S. (4)1 : 2
    4Selekhmeteva O. (7)Chwalinska M.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Zidansek T.Radivojevic L.1 : 2
    2Bejlek S. (4)Chwalinska M.2 : 0

    Final
    1Radivojevic L.Bejlek S. (4)1 : 2