Tina Nadine Smith vs Marie Vogt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF W50 Troisdorf Women Tina Nadine Smith - Marie Vogt
Result
1:2
05/06/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Troisdorf, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
46

Chances of winning


Tina Nadine Smith
61.5%
Marie Vogt
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.7% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.3% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tina Nadine Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tina Nadine Smith's form might have worsened.
  • Marie Vogt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marie Vogt's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tina Nadine Smith than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tina Nadine Smith, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marie Vogt than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marie Vogt, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tina Nadine Smith - Marie Vogt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.34)

    2.41
    (3.23)
    7.8%
    (5.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Smith is ranked WTA: 329. Vogt is ranked WTA: 600.
    • Smith has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Vogt is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Vogt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Smith is a strong favorite.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Tina Nadine Smith
    Latest results of Marie Vogt
    03.06.2025 Marie Vogt - Lian Tran Tran L. retired
    23.05.2025 Marie Vogt - Mia Horvit 2:0
    22.05.2025 Marie Vogt - Noelani Sara Teso Teso N. S. retired
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Martinez Cirez C. (1)Steur J. L. S.2 : 0
    2Sakellaridi S. (RET.)Daems J.0 : 0
    3Bayerlova M.Wolff V.0 : 2
    4Schmidt A.Mandlik E. (5)0 : 2
    5Noha Akugue N. (3)Lee G.2 : 0
    6Rodriguez V.In-Albon Y.0 : 2
    7Radovanovic N.Shapatava S.0 : 2
    8Brockmann T. J.Friedsam A-L. (7)1 : 2
    9Avdeeva J. (6)Raschdorf C.2 : 1
    10Vasilescu A. (Q)Guth M. (Q)0 : 2
    11Simion O. (Q)Firman A. (Q)2 : 0
    12Shinikova I.Gorgodze E. (4)1 : 2
    13Guo H. (8)Smith T. N.0 : 2
    14Vogt M.Tran L. (RET.)1 : 0
    15Vrancken Peeters A. (Q)Blokhina A. (Q)0 : 2
    16Kuhl C.Kung L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Martinez Cirez C. (1)Daems J.1 : 2
    2Wolff V.Mandlik E. (5)0 : 2
    3Noha Akugue N. (3)In-Albon Y.2 : 1
    4Shapatava S.Friedsam A-L. (7)0 : 2
    5Avdeeva J. (6)Guth M.0 : 2
    6Simion O.Gorgodze E. (4)2 : 1
    7Smith T. N.Vogt M.1 : 2
    8Blokhina A.Kung L. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Daems J.Mandlik E. (5)0 : 2
    2Noha Akugue N. (3)Friedsam A-L. (7)1 : 2
    3Guth M.Simion O.1 : 2
    4Vogt M.Blokhina A.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Mandlik E. (5)Friedsam A-L. (7)1 : 2
    2Simion O.Blokhina A.0 : 2

    Final
    1Friedsam A-L. (7)Blokhina A.1 : 2