Tiphanie Lemaitre vs Maria Lourdes Carle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Lemaitre T. retired
21/02/2026 at 15:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Merida - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
14
Double Faults
47
1st serve percentage
50%53%
1st serve points won
54% (13/24)64% (18/28)
2nd serve points won
42% (10/24)44% (11/25)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)57% (4/7)
1st return points won
36% (10/28)50% (12/24)
2nd return points won
56% (14/25)58% (14/24)
Break Points Converted
43% (3/7)50% (4/8)
Service Points Won
46% (22/48)55% (29/53)
Return Points Won
45% (24/53)54% (26/48)
Total Points Won
46% (46/101)54% (55/101)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
00
Service games won
43% (3/7)57% (4/7)
Return games won
43% (3/7)57% (4/7)
Total games won
43% (6/14)57% (8/14)

Chances of winning


Tiphanie Lemaitre
26.5%
Maria Lourdes Carle
73.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.6% 66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7% 62.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tiphanie Lemaitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tiphanie Lemaitre's form might have worsened.
  • Maria Lourdes Carle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maria Lourdes Carle's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiphanie Lemaitre than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tiphanie Lemaitre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Lourdes Carle than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maria Lourdes Carle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tiphanie Lemaitre - Maria Lourdes Carle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.56
    (2.73)

    1.29
    (1.38)
    5.7%
    (9.1%)
    What is the prediction for Tiphanie Lemaitre - Maria Lourdes Carle?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Carle will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Carle (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +4 Games - Carle (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Carle (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lemaitre is ranked WTA: 318. Carle is ranked WTA: 155.
    • Lemaitre is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Carle has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Lemaitre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Tiphanie Lemaitre
    Latest results of Maria Lourdes Carle
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)Bye
    2Hon P.Zarazua R.
    3Boulter K. (WC)Haddad Maia B.2 : 0
    4Osorio C.Tjen J. (6)
    5Li A. (3)Bye
    6Brace C. (Q)Sonmez Z.
    7Bucsa C.Vekic D.
    8Stakusic M. (WC)Yastremska D. (5)2 : 0
    9Bouzas Maneiro J. (7)Watson H. (Q)
    10Frech M.Timofeeva M. (Q)
    11Arango E.Potapova A.2 : 0
    12ByeBouzkova M. (4)
    13Linette M. (8)Maria T.
    14Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Putintseva Y.2 : 1
    15Lepchenko V. (Q)Zhang S. (Q)
    16ByeNavarro E. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Paolini J. (1)TBD #2
    2Boulter K.TBD #4
    3Li A. (3)TBD #6
    4TBD #7Stakusic M.
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6Arango E.Bouzkova M. (4)
    7TBD #13Jimenez Kasintseva V.
    8TBD #15Navarro E. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2