AF Elbasani vs Tirana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Albanian Super League AF Elbasani - Tirana
Result
2:1
31/03/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Abissnet Superiore - Round 32
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaRTSH Sport
worldWorldFIFA+

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Pergjoni F. ,
  • 37', Vera L. 🟨,
  • 43', Rafa Freitas 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 58', Gjumsi A. , Jarmouni W. ,
  • 59', Lajthia X. , Blaise Tsague ,
  • 68', Dros C. 🟨,
  • 73', 1 - 1, Qose K. ,
  • 73', Ndreca A. , Smaci E. ,
  • 76', Hakaj E. , Kasa K. ,
  • 83', Ze Gomes , Doukouo L. ,
  • 83', Dros C. , Ibrahim A. ,
  • 85', Smaci E. 🟨,
  • 86', Lila B. 🟨,
  • 87', Ibrahim A. 🟨,
  • 87', Vera L. , Haxhiu R. ,
  • 90', Loukili K. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 2 - 1, Qose K. ,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Chances of winning


AF Elbasani
39.5%
Draw
30.5%
Tirana
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 29.7% 25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8% 29.2% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AF Elbasani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AF Elbasani's form might have worsened.
  • Tirana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AF Elbasani than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AF Elbasani, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirana than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tirana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • AF Elbasani - Tirana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.02)
    3
    (3.07)
    3.05
    (3.61)
    9.3%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for AF Elbasani - Tirana?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. AF Elbasani will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tirana will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for AF Elbasani: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • AF Elbasani is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recent matches Tirana is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recently Tirana have a series of home games.
    • AF Elbasani will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches AF Elbasani won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams AF Elbasani won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AF Elbasani - Tirana were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Tirana - AF Elbasani 1:1
    24.11.2024 AF Elbasani - Tirana 1:1
    16.09.2024 Tirana - AF Elbasani 1:1
    Latest results of AF Elbasani
    Latest results of Tirana
    26.03.2025 Tirana - Bylis Ballsh 2:2
    11.03.2025 Tirana - Vllaznia Shkodër 0:0
    06.03.2025 Tirana - Laçi 4:1
    02.03.2025 Tirana - Dinamo Tirana 1:4
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1VllazniaDinamo Tirana2 : 1
    2EgnatiaPartizani0 : 0

    Final
    1VllazniaEgnatia0 : 4

    3rd place
    2Dinamo TiranaPartizani1 : 2