Result
3:2
19/01/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 18
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 7', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 52', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 55', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 59', 🟥,
- 83', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Molynes United
43.4% | Draw
27.7% | Tivoli Gardens
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Molynes United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Molynes United's performance.Tivoli Gardens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tivoli Gardens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molynes United than the current prediction. (-12%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Molynes United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (+13.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tivoli Gardens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Molynes United - Tivoli Gardens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↓
(3.05) |
3.32 ↓
(3.61) |
3.19 ↑
(2.12) |
8.6%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Molynes United - Tivoli Gardens?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Molynes will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Tivoli Gardens will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - Tivoli Gardens (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tivoli Gardens (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molynes won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Molynes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Tivoli Gardens will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Molynes won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:25. (average 0.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Molynes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.8:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Molynes United won against Tivoli Gardens?
Molynes United has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tivoli Gardens won against Molynes United?
Tivoli Gardens has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Molynes United - Tivoli Gardens were as follows:
21.09.2025
Tivoli Gardens
-
Molynes United
1:1
12.03.2025
Tivoli Gardens
-
Molynes United
3:0
22.12.2024
Molynes United
-
Tivoli Gardens
0:2
24.10.2024
Tivoli Gardens
-
Molynes United
0:0
20.03.2024
Molynes United
-
Tivoli Gardens
3:6
Latest results of Molynes United
Latest results of Tivoli Gardens
Jamaica National Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mount Pleasant | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 67:24 | 43 | 71 |
| 2 | Montego Bay ✔ | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 78:43 | 35 | 71 |
| 3 | Portmore | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 63 |
| 4 | Waterhouse ✔ | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 47:32 | 15 | 62 |
| 5 | Cavalier | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 55:40 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Racing United | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 49:34 | 15 | 57 |
| 7 | Arnett Gardens | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 61:44 | 17 | 55 |
| 8 | Chapelton | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 40:50 | -10 | 49 |
| 9 | Dunbeholden | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40:49 | -9 | 48 |
| 10 | Tivoli | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 37:55 | -18 | 44 |
| 11 | Treasure Beach | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 43:57 | -14 | 43 |
| 12 | Molynes | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 43:47 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | Harbour View | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 52:71 | -19 | 39 |
| 14 | Spanish Town Police ✔ | 38 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 25:107 | -82 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Montego Bay is Qualified for Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Waterhouse is Qualified for Premier League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Spanish Town Police is Relegated to
