Result
5:2
08/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 5
- Referee: Villa R. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Christian ⚽, Govea I. (A),
- 19', 2 - 0, Christian ⚽,
- 29', 3 - 0, Silva J. ⚽,
- 38', 4 - 0, Figueroa F. ⚽, Hernandez E. (A),
- 42', 4 - 1, Silva J. (Own goal),
- 45+3', Christian 🟨,
- 45+3', Aguayo J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Silva J. ↓, Iniestra A. ↑,
- 46', Meza U. ↓, Cisneros C. ↑,
- 46', Aguayo J. ↓, Gonzalez O. ↑,
- 46', Morales F. ↓, Lara M. ↑,
- 51', Ledesma A. 🟨,
- 55', 4 - 2, Cisneros C. ⚽, Flores B. (A),
- 60', Hernandez E. ↓, Blanco J. ↑,
- 60', Robles E. ↓, Zaragoza A. ↑,
- 61', Flores B. 🟥,
- 71', Rivera E. ↓, Camacho Lastra R. E. ↑,
- 74', Castillo E. ↓, Macias B. ↑,
- 75', 5 - 2, Gonzalez P. ⚽, Christian (A),
- 77', Christian ↓, Salomon O. ↑,
- 84', Brigido J. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
- 84', Perez J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tlaxcala
40.1% | Draw
27.8% | Leones Negros UdeG
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tlaxcala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Leones Negros UdeG has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Tlaxcala - Leones Negros UdeG Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.2) |
3.31 ↓
(3.42) |
2.86 ↓
(2.86) |
8.7%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Tlaxcala - Leones Negros UdeG?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 0.
- Recent performances by Tlaxcala have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Leones Negros UdeG is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Leones Negros UdeG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:25. (average 0.9:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tlaxcala won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tlaxcala won against Leones Negros UdeG?
Tlaxcala has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leones Negros UdeG won against Tlaxcala?
Leones Negros UdeG has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tlaxcala - Leones Negros UdeG were as follows:
31.08.2025
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Tlaxcala
2:2
02.02.2025
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Tlaxcala
5:1
17.08.2024
Tlaxcala
-
Leones Negros UdeG
1:2
23.03.2024
Tlaxcala
-
Leones Negros UdeG
0:4
29.10.2023
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Tlaxcala
2:1
Latest results of Tlaxcala
Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
