Result
19/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Tepatitlán de Morelos
55.7% | Draw
23.8% | Tlaxcala
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tepatitlán de Morelos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Tlaxcala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tepatitlán de Morelos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Tepatitlán de Morelos - Tlaxcala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↑
(1.58) |
3.87 ↓
(4.1) |
4.48 ↓
(4.88) |
8.6%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 1.
- Tepatitlán is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tlaxcala has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Tepatitlán may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Tepatitlán is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Tepatitlán will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tepatitlán won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Tepatitlán de Morelos won against Tlaxcala?
Tepatitlán de Morelos has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tlaxcala won against Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Tlaxcala has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tepatitlán de Morelos - Tlaxcala were as follows:
25.01.2025
Tlaxcala
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2:2
10.08.2024
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Tlaxcala
0:0
04.04.2024
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Tlaxcala
1:1
13.10.2023
Tlaxcala
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
0:1
14.04.2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Tlaxcala
0:0
Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
Latest results of Tlaxcala
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:0 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Tampico Madero | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Atl. Morelia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 | Irapuato | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 | Atlante | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Tapatio | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Leones Negros | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Zacatecas Mineros | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Atletico La Paz | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Tlaxcala | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 8 |
| 12 | Venados | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:18 | -6 | 5 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3:13 | -10 | 3 |
| 15 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
