Result
1:2
19/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 8
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', Tejeda D. 🟨,
- 31', Lazaro J. 🟨,
- 31', Dominguez I. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 1, Gonzalez Martinez J. D. ⚽, Rojas H. (A),
- 45+2', Chavez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Lorona L. ↓, Samano L. ↑,
- 46', Soto A. ↓, Venegas J. ↑,
- 46', Munoz Z. ↓, Aguilar D. ↑,
- 46', Montano T. ↓, Aguilar M. ↑,
- 51', 0 - 2, Christian ⚽,
- 68', Solis E. 🟨,
- 69', Salomon O. ↓, Zaragoza A. ↑,
- 69', Solis E. ↓, Fabio Erins ↑,
- 69', Silva J. ↓, Godinez I. ↑,
- 71', Dominguez I. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
- 75', Christian 🟨,
- 78', Tejeda D. ↓, Partida F. ↑,
- 81', Zaragoza A. 🟨,
- 83', Christian ↓, Morales A. ↑,
- 90', Gonzalez Martinez J. D. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Garcia D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Tepatitlán de Morelos
56.9% | Draw
23.3% | Tlaxcala
19.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tepatitlán de Morelos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Tlaxcala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Tepatitlán de Morelos - Tlaxcala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↑
(1.58) |
4.01 ↓
(4.1) |
4.7 ↓
(4.88) |
7.2%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 1.
- Tepatitlán is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tlaxcala's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Tepatitlán is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Tepatitlán will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tepatitlán won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Tepatitlán de Morelos won against Tlaxcala?
Tepatitlán de Morelos has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tlaxcala won against Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Tlaxcala has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tepatitlán de Morelos - Tlaxcala were as follows:
25.01.2025
Tlaxcala
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2:2
10.08.2024
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Tlaxcala
0:0
04.04.2024
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Tlaxcala
1:1
13.10.2023
Tlaxcala
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
0:1
14.04.2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Tlaxcala
0:0
Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
Latest results of Tlaxcala
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Tampico Madero | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Atlante | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 19 |
| 4 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Irapuato | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Leones Negros | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | Tapatio | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Venados | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22:24 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Atl. Morelia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Zacatecas Mineros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6:20 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
