Result
1:0
01/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Solorio Arreola H. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Venegas J. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mendoza B. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
- 54', Blanco J. 🟨,
- 57', Aguilar D. 🟨,
- 57', Figueroa F. 🟨,
- 61', 🟨,
- 64', Blanco J. ↓, Robles E. ↑,
- 64', Gonzalez P. ↓, Castillo E. ↑,
- 70', Salomon O. ↓, Zaragoza A. ↑,
- 77', Ruiz A. 🟨,
- 81', Islas O. ↓, Lazarte L. ↑,
- 88', Santos E. ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
- 88', Iniestra A. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
- 90', Samano L. ↓, Moreno Villegas J. A. ↑,
- 90+1', Aguilar D. ↓, Samano Salgado F. ↑,
- 90+4', Pinela M. 🟨,
- 90+6', 1 - 0, Silva J. ⚽, Figueroa F. (A),
Chances of winning
Tlaxcala
37.2% | Draw
26.7% | Tepatitlán de Morelos
36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tlaxcala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Tepatitlán de Morelos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Tlaxcala - Tepatitlán de Morelos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↓
(2.65) |
3.45 ↑
(3.25) |
2.55 ↓
(2.59) |
8.6%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tlaxcala - Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Tlaxcala will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Tepatitlán will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tlaxcala (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 1.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Tepatitlán may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tlaxcala won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Tlaxcala won against Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Tlaxcala has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tepatitlán de Morelos won against Tlaxcala?
Tepatitlán de Morelos has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tlaxcala - Tepatitlán de Morelos were as follows:
19.09.2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Tlaxcala
1:2
25.01.2025
Tlaxcala
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2:2
10.08.2024
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Tlaxcala
0:0
04.04.2024
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Tlaxcala
1:1
13.10.2023
Tlaxcala
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
0:1
Latest results of Tlaxcala
Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Morelia | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Tapatio | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Tlaxcala | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Cancun | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Atlante | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Venados | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Zacatecas Mineros | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Leones Negros | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 | Jaiba Brava | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
