Tłuchowia Tłuchowo vs Września – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
27/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group II - Round 10

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Donavan ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 53', Kolbus J. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
46.5%
Draw
25.4%
Września
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 25.8% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 26.3% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tłuchowia Tłuchowo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tłuchowia Tłuchowo's performance.
  • Września has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Września might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tłuchowia Tłuchowo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Września than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Września could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Września Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.35)
    3.7
    (3.47)
    3.35
    (2.47)
    6.4%
    (11.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Tłuchowia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Września has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Polish Division 3 - Group II Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zawisza21144347:163146
    2Luzino22143549:272245
    3Sroda21143444:281645
    4Elana Torun22134535:251043
    5Lech Poznan II22113846:311536
    6Swinoujscie20104628:20834
    7Cartusia Kartuzy21111932:29334
    8Kluczevia Stargard2295834:26832
    9Blekitni Stargard2295837:32532
    10Lipno Steszew2294929:35-631
    11Wda Swiecie2294924:37-1331
    12Notec Czarnkow2185830:29129
    13Nowe Skalmierzyce22571019:33-1422
    14Unia Swarzedz22561121:30-921
    15Pogon Szczecin II22631340:51-1121
    16Wrzesnia21511520:32-1216
    17Tluchowo21441317:39-2216
    18Rewal22341510:42-3213

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation