Tłuchowia Tłuchowo vs Września – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
27/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group II - Round 10

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Donavan ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 53', Kolbus J. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
46.5%
Draw
25.4%
Września
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 25.8% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 26.3% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tłuchowia Tłuchowo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tłuchowia Tłuchowo's performance.
  • Września has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Września might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tłuchowia Tłuchowo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Września than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Września could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Września Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.35)
    3.7
    (3.47)
    3.35
    (2.47)
    6.4%
    (11.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Tłuchowia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Września has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Polish Division 3 - Group II Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zawisza25175350:163456
    2Sroda25165454:332153
    3Luzino24163554:282651
    4Elana Torun25145642:291347
    5Swinoujscie25125840:36441
    6Lech Poznan II24115848:331538
    7Wda Swiecie25115929:39-1038
    8Kluczevia Stargard25106940:291136
    9Cartusia Kartuzy251131134:35-136
    10Blekitni Stargard25961040:39133
    11Notec Czarnkow2496934:34033
    12Lipno Steszew25951133:42-932
    13Unia Swarzedz25761227:32-527
    14Wrzesnia25821528:35-726
    15Pogon Szczecin II24731443:52-924
    16Nowe Skalmierzyce25571321:39-1822
    17Tluchowo25551521:46-2520
    18Rewal25341812:53-4113

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation