Result
1:1 penalties
17/08/2023 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS
- Referee: Kralovic P. (Svk)
Chances of winning
Derry City
46.9% | Draw
28.4% | Tobol Kostanay
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Derry City's performance.Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tobol Kostanay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derry City than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derry City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tobol Kostanay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Derry City - Tobol Kostanay Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.49) |
3.27 ↓
(3.31) |
3.86 ↑
(2.65) |
6.3%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Derry City - Tobol Kostanay?
Users Predictions:
Derry City will win
(17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium. 1st leg result: 0-1.
- Derry is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Tobol is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Tobol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Derry will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Derry won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Derry City won against Tobol Kostanay?
Derry City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tobol Kostanay won against Derry City?
Tobol Kostanay has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derry City - Tobol Kostanay were as follows:
10.08.2023
Tobol Kostanay
-
Derry City
1:0
Latest results of Derry City
Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | 2 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | 4 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | 2 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | 2 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | 1 : 1, 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | |
| 2 | Crystal Palace (10) | Fiorentina (15) | |
| 3 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 4 | Mainz (7) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
