Tobol Kostanay vs Shakhter Karagandy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Kazakh Premier League Tobol Kostanay - Shakhter Karagandy
Result
1:0
28/09/2024 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • KAZAKHSTAN: Premier League - Round 16
  • Referee: Nozhenko S. (Kaz)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
worldWorldOnefootball app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
64%36%
Goal Attempts
176
Shots on Goal
63
Shots off Goal
113
Corner Kicks
82
Offsides
41
Goalkeeper Saves
35
Fouls
715
Yellow Cards
15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Ryzhuk D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Djokic M. 🟨,
  • 58', Kozlov E. , Ashortia I. ,
  • 62', Mosiashvili T. , Costa R. ,
  • 68', Canas R. 🟨,
  • 72', Ivanovic I. , Zuev A. ,
  • 72', Henen D. , Tapalov E. ,
  • 74', Abdulla A. , Nazymkhanov A. ,
  • 75', Ilic J. 🟨,
  • 79', Chesnokov I. (Pen),
  • 85', Stamenkovic F. , Nikolic M. ,
  • 89', 1 - 0, Zuev A. ,
  • 90+2', El Messaoudi A. , Bozhko R. ,
  • 90+2', Adams L. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Tapalov E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tobol Kostanay
72.1%
Draw
18%
Shakhter Karagandy
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.5% 20% 14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7% 19.1% 13.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tobol Kostanay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tobol Kostanay's performance.
  • Shakhter Karagandy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhter Karagandy than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Tobol Kostanay - Shakhter Karagandy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.28
    (1.42)
    5.12
    (4.66)
    9.29
    (6.39)
    8.6%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 6 and 13 in the zone Relegation ~ First Division).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tobol won 2.
    • Recent matches Tobol is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Shakhter Karagandy has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Tobol is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Tobol won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 28-24.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tobol won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-7.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tobol Kostanay - Shakhter Karagandy were as follows:
    19.05.2024 Shakhter Karagandy - Tobol Kostanay 1:0
    30.09.2023 Shakhter Karagandy - Tobol Kostanay 2:1
    07.06.2023 Shakhter Karagandy - Tobol Kostanay 1:0
    17.05.2023 Tobol Kostanay - Shakhter Karagandy 2:0
    14.03.2023 Tobol Kostanay - Shakhter Karagandy 2:1
    Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
    22.09.2024 Tobol Kostanay - Aktobe 3:0
    31.08.2024 Tobol Kostanay - Atyrau 1:1
    25.08.2024 Kairat - Tobol Kostanay 2:2
    18.08.2024 Zhetysu - Tobol Kostanay 0:3
    Latest results of Shakhter Karagandy
    Kazakh Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Astana18124241:162540
    2Kairat Almaty18124238:142440
    3Tobol17105230:161435
    4Aktobe17103426:121433
    5Yelimay Semey1884625:18728
    6Okzhetpes1884625:24128
    7Ordabasy1775519:13626
    8Zhenis1859420:16424
    9Kyzylzhar1847719:23-419
    10Kaisar Kyzylorda1838718:30-1217
    11Zhetysu Taldykorgan1837814:28-1416
    12Ulytau17341010:24-1413
    13Turan18321313:37-2411
    14Atyrau18221410:37-278

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ First League