Result
1:0
28/09/2024 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- KAZAKHSTAN: Premier League - Round 16
- Referee: Nozhenko S. (Kaz)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 World | Onefootball app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Ryzhuk D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Djokic M. 🟨,
- 58', Kozlov E. ↓, Ashortia I. ↑,
- 62', Mosiashvili T. ↓, Costa R. ↑,
- 68', Canas R. 🟨,
- 72', Ivanovic I. ↓, Zuev A. ↑,
- 72', Henen D. ↓, Tapalov E. ↑,
- 74', Abdulla A. ↓, Nazymkhanov A. ↑,
- 75', Ilic J. 🟨,
- 79', Chesnokov I. (Pen),
- 85', Stamenkovic F. ↓, Nikolic M. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 0, Zuev A. ⚽,
- 90+2', El Messaoudi A. ↓, Bozhko R. ↑,
- 90+2', Adams L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Tapalov E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tobol Kostanay
72.1% | Draw
18% | Shakhter Karagandy
9.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tobol Kostanay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tobol Kostanay's performance.Shakhter Karagandy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhter Karagandy than the current prediction. (+4%)
Tobol Kostanay - Shakhter Karagandy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.42) |
5.12 ↑
(4.66) |
9.29 ↑
(6.39) |
8.6%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 6 and 13 in the zone Relegation ~ First Division).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tobol won 2.
- Recent matches Tobol is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Shakhter Karagandy has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Tobol is the unquestionable favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Tobol won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 28-24.
- Including matches at home between the teams Tobol won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-7.
How many head-to-head matches has Tobol Kostanay won against Shakhter Karagandy?
Tobol Kostanay has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shakhter Karagandy won against Tobol Kostanay?
Shakhter Karagandy has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tobol Kostanay - Shakhter Karagandy were as follows:
19.05.2024
Shakhter Karagandy
-
Tobol Kostanay
1:0
30.09.2023
Shakhter Karagandy
-
Tobol Kostanay
2:1
07.06.2023
Shakhter Karagandy
-
Tobol Kostanay
1:0
17.05.2023
Tobol Kostanay
-
Shakhter Karagandy
2:0
14.03.2023
Tobol Kostanay
-
Shakhter Karagandy
2:1
Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
Latest results of Shakhter Karagandy
Kazakh Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Astana | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41:16 | 25 | 40 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 38:14 | 24 | 40 |
| 3 | Tobol | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 30:16 | 14 | 35 |
| 4 | Aktobe | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 26:12 | 14 | 33 |
| 5 | Yelimay Semey | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 25:18 | 7 | 28 |
| 6 | Okzhetpes | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 25:24 | 1 | 28 |
| 7 | Ordabasy | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19:13 | 6 | 26 |
| 8 | Zhenis | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 24 |
| 9 | Kyzylzhar | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 19 |
| 10 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 18:30 | -12 | 17 |
| 11 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 14:28 | -14 | 16 |
| 12 | Ulytau | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 10:24 | -14 | 13 |
| 13 | Turan | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 13:37 | -24 | 11 |
| 14 | Atyrau | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10:37 | -27 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
