Result
2:2
29/06/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 14
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 15', 0 - 1, Adilio ⚽, Adil A. (A),
- 26', Asrankulov R. 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 2, Adil A. ⚽, Adilio (A),
- 41', 1 - 2, Signevich N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', Saulet A. 🟨,
- 55', Zhagorov N. ↓, Zhumashev Z. ↑,
- 63', Adil A. ↓, Batalha R. ↑,
- 63', Adilio ↓, Anuarbekov N. ↑,
- 67', Ededem E. 🟨,
- 75', Baltabekov A. ↓, Nabikhanov A. ↑,
- 75', Karaman D. ↓, Martins G. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 2, Chesnokov I. (Pen),
- 85', El Messaoudi A. ↓, Zuev A. ↑,
- 89', Ededem E. ↓, Victor Braga ↑,
- 90', Saravanja I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tobol Kostanay
66.6% | Draw
21.7% | Zhenis
11.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Zhenis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhenis than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Tobol Kostanay - Zhenis Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.41) |
4.27 ↓
(4.32) |
7.91 ↓
(8.2) |
8%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 9).
- Tobol has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Zhenis has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Tobol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Tobol is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Tobol will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tobol won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tobol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Tobol Kostanay won against Zhenis?
Tobol Kostanay has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zhenis won against Tobol Kostanay?
Zhenis has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tobol Kostanay - Zhenis were as follows:
25.06.2025
Tobol Kostanay
-
Zhenis
2:1
08.03.2025
Zhenis
-
Tobol Kostanay
0:0
04.10.2024
Zhenis
-
Tobol Kostanay
2:1
25.05.2024
Zhenis
-
Tobol Kostanay
2:0
27.04.2024
Tobol Kostanay
-
Zhenis
1:1
Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
Kazakh Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 41:17 | 24 | 43 |
| 2 | FC Astana | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41:16 | 25 | 40 |
| 3 | Tobol | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 32:16 | 16 | 38 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 31:22 | 9 | 35 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 27:16 | 11 | 33 |
| 6 | Okzhetpes | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
| 7 | Ordabasy | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 28 |
| 8 | Zhenis | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 23:17 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 | Kyzylzhar | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 21:27 | -6 | 21 |
| 10 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 15:31 | -16 | 19 |
| 11 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 18 |
| 12 | Turan | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15:39 | -24 | 15 |
| 13 | Ulytau | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11:26 | -15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atyrau | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13:40 | -27 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
