Toby Samuel vs Lilian Marmousez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Chisinau Challenger Men Toby Samuel - Lilian Marmousez
Result
2:0
27/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Chisinau, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
122
Double Faults
23
1st Serve Percentage
81%58%
1st Serve Points Won
87% (33/38)55% (21/38)
2nd Serve Points Won
56% (5/9)46% (13/28)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/1)50% (4/8)
1st Return Points Won
45% (17/38)13% (5/38)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (15/28)44% (4/9)
Break Points Converted
50% (4/8)100% (1/1)
Service Points Won
81% (38/47)52% (34/66)
Return Points Won
48% (32/66)19% (9/47)
Total Points Won
62% (70/113)38% (43/113)
Last 10 Balls
100
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
90% (9/10)60% (6/10)
Return Games Won
40% (4/10)10% (1/10)
Total Games Won
65% (13/20)35% (7/20)

Chances of winning


Toby Samuel
44.8%
Lilian Marmousez
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.8% 45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toby Samuel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toby Samuel's form might have worsened.
  • Lilian Marmousez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lilian Marmousez's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toby Samuel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilian Marmousez than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lilian Marmousez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Toby Samuel - Lilian Marmousez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (1.69)

    1.7
    (2.05)
    6.9%
    (8%)
    What is the prediction for Toby Samuel - Lilian Marmousez?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Samuel will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Marmousez will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marmousez: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Samuel is ranked ATP: 1352. Marmousez is ranked ATP: 421.
    • Samuel has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Marmousez is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Samuel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • We predict that Marmousez will win today's game, with odds of 2.05.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Toby Samuel
    20.05.2025 Toby Samuel - Martin Damm 1:2
    07.05.2025 Keegan Smith - Toby Samuel 2:1
    22.04.2025 Giles Hussey - Toby Samuel Samuel T. retired
    15.04.2025 Aziz Dougaz - Toby Samuel 2:0
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Simakin I. (1)Robertson C.2 : 0
    2Henning P.Glinka D.2 : 1
    3Sasikumar M. (Q)Ilkel C. (WC)0 : 2
    4Bar Biryukov P.Purtseladze S. (5)2 : 0
    5Yevseyev D. (3)Wendelken H. (Q)2 : 1
    6Broom C.Uchida K.1 : 2
    7Imamura M.Samrej K.2 : 0
    8Hussey G. (Q)Bertrand R. (6)2 : 0
    9Giustino L. (7)Gray A.2 : 1
    10Parker S. (Q)Snitari I. (WC)2 : 0
    11Samuel T.Marmousez L. (Q)2 : 0
    12Berankis R.Albot R. (4)1 : 2
    13Chidekh C. (8)Pokorny L.2 : 0
    14Bakshi A. (RET.) (WC)Pieczkowski O. (Q)0 : 1
    15Gerasimov E.Karlovskiy E.0 : 2
    16Strombachs R.Clarke J. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Simakin I. (1)Henning P.2 : 0
    2Ilkel C.Bar Biryukov P.1 : 2
    3Yevseyev D. (3)Uchida K.0 : 2
    4Imamura M.Hussey G.0 : 2
    5Giustino L. (7)Parker S.0 : 2
    6Samuel T.Albot R. (4)2 : 0
    7Chidekh C. (8)Pieczkowski O.2 : 1
    8Karlovskiy E.Strombachs R.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Simakin I. (1)Bar Biryukov P.2 : 1
    2Uchida K.Hussey G.0 : 2
    3Parker S.Samuel T.1 : 2
    4Chidekh C. (8)Strombachs R.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Simakin I. (1)Hussey G.2 : 0
    2Samuel T.Chidekh C. (8)0 : 2

    Final
    1Simakin I. (1)Chidekh C. (8)0 : 2