Toby Samuel vs Mees Rottgering – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Hersonissos 5 Challenger Men Toby Samuel - Mees Rottgering
Result
2:0
07/10/2025 at 09:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 5, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
20
Double Faults
25
1st Serve Percentage
63%48%
1st Serve Points Won
68% (21/31)60% (18/30)
2nd Serve Points Won
44% (8/18)22% (7/32)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)45% (5/11)
1st Return Points Won
43% (13/30)32% (10/31)
2nd Return Points Won
78% (25/32)56% (10/18)
Break Points Converted
55% (6/11)40% (2/5)
Service Points Won
59% (29/49)41% (24/58)
Return Points Won
59% (34/58)41% (20/49)
Total Points Won
59% (63/107)41% (44/107)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
75% (6/8)25% (2/8)
Return Games Won
75% (6/8)25% (2/8)
Total Games Won
75% (12/16)25% (4/16)

Chances of winning


Toby Samuel
67.2%
Mees Rottgering
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8% 34.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toby Samuel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toby Samuel's performance.
  • Mees Rottgering has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mees Rottgering might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mees Rottgering than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Toby Samuel - Mees Rottgering Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.52)

    2.83
    (2.3)
    6.7%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Toby Samuel - Mees Rottgering?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Samuel will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Rottgering will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Samuel: 65%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Toby Samuel will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Samuel is ranked ATP: 534. Rottgering is ranked ATP: 695.
    • Samuel is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In recent matches, Rottgering has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Rottgering may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Samuel might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Samuel will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Toby Samuel
    Latest results of Mees Rottgering
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Coppejans K. (1)Butvilas E.2 : 1
    2Samuel T. (Q)Rottgering M. (JR)2 : 0
    3Singh K. (Alt)Albot R. (Q)0 : 2
    4Novak D. (Alt)Kuzmanov D. (8)0 : 2
    5Cina F. (3)Montes-De La Torre I.0 : 2
    6Hussey G.Wendelken H. (Q)0 : 2
    7Barton H.Basing M. (Q)2 : 0
    8Boitan G. A.Loffhagen G. (5)0 : 2
    9Bailly G. A. (6)Andreev A. (PR)2 : 0
    10Mrva M. (NG)Coulibaly E.0 : 2
    11Tsitsipas Pa. (RET.) (WC)Visker N. (Q)0 : 0
    12Sakellaridis D. (Q)Peniston R. (4)1 : 2
    13Blancaneaux G. (7)Escoffier A.0 : 2
    14Tsitsipas Pe. (WC)Strombachs R.2 : 1
    15Xilas I. (WC)Geerts M.0 : 2
    16Broom C.Crawford O. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Coppejans K. (1)Samuel T.2 : 1
    2Albot R. (WO.)Kuzmanov D. (8)
    3Montes-De La Torre I.Wendelken H.0 : 2
    4Barton H.Loffhagen G. (5)2 : 0
    5Bailly G. A. (6)Coulibaly E.1 : 2
    6Visker N.Peniston R. (4)0 : 2
    7Escoffier A.Tsitsipas Pe.2 : 1
    8Geerts M.Broom C.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Coppejans K. (1)Albot R.2 : 0
    2Wendelken H.Barton H.1 : 2
    3Coulibaly E.Peniston R. (4)0 : 2
    4Escoffier A.Geerts M.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Coppejans K. (1)Barton H.2 : 1
    2Peniston R. (4)Escoffier A.2 : 0

    Final
    1Coppejans K. (1)Peniston R. (4)0 : 2