Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Toby Samuel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
09/04/2026 at 09:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
92
Double Faults
32
1st serve percentage
53%67%
1st serve points won
77% (36/47)75% (41/55)
2nd serve points won
59% (24/41)67% (18/27)
Break Points Saved
4/72/4
1st return points won
25% (14/55)23% (11/47)
2nd return points won
33% (9/27)41% (17/41)
Break Points Converted
2/43/7
Winners
2723
Unforced errors
4039
Net points won
50% (4/8)43% (3/7)
Service Points Won
68% (60/88)72% (59/82)
Return Points Won
28% (23/82)32% (28/88)
Total Points Won
49% (83/170)51% (87/170)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
00
Service games won
80% (12/15)86% (12/14)
Return games won
14% (2/14)20% (3/15)
Total games won
48% (14/29)52% (15/29)

Chances of winning


Stefanos Sakellaridis
48.9%
Toby Samuel
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 47.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stefanos Sakellaridis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Toby Samuel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Sakellaridis than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Stefanos Sakellaridis - Toby Samuel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.99)

    1.83
    (1.72)
    7.1%
    (8.4%)
    What is the prediction for Stefanos Sakellaridis - Toby Samuel?
  • Users Predictions: Stefanos Sakellaridis will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 84.7%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stefanos Sakellaridis will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sakellaridis is ranked ATP: 210. Samuel is ranked ATP: 169.
    • Recent performances by Sakellaridis have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Samuel is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Sakellaridis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sakellaridis won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stefanos Sakellaridis - Toby Samuel were as follows:
    07.03.2026 Toby Samuel - Stefanos Sakellaridis 2:0
    Latest results of Toby Samuel