Result
1:2
09/04/2026 at 09:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 53% | 67% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 77% (36/47) | 75% (41/55) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 59% (24/41) | 67% (18/27) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 4/7 | 2/4 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 25% (14/55) | 23% (11/47) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 33% (9/27) | 41% (17/41) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 2/4 | 3/7 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 40 | 39 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 43% (3/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (60/88) | 72% (59/82) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 28% (23/82) | 32% (28/88) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (83/170) | 51% (87/170) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 86% (12/14) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 20% (3/15) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 48% (14/29) | 52% (15/29) |
Chances of winning
Stefanos Sakellaridis 48.9% | Toby Samuel 51.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stefanos Sakellaridis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Toby Samuel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Sakellaridis than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Stefanos Sakellaridis - Toby Samuel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.91 ↓ (1.99) |
|
1.83 ↑ (1.72) |
7.1% (8.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Stefanos Sakellaridis - Toby Samuel?
Users Predictions:
Stefanos Sakellaridis will win
(18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stefanos Sakellaridis will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Sakellaridis is ranked ATP: 210. Samuel is ranked ATP: 169.
- Recent performances by Sakellaridis have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Samuel is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Sakellaridis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sakellaridis won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Stefanos Sakellaridis won against Toby Samuel?
Stefanos Sakellaridis has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toby Samuel won against Stefanos Sakellaridis?
Toby Samuel has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stefanos Sakellaridis - Toby Samuel were as follows:
07.03.2026
Toby Samuel
-
Stefanos Sakellaridis
2:0
Latest results of Stefanos Sakellaridis
Latest results of Toby Samuel