Maracanã vs Tocantinópolis – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Maracanã - Tocantinópolis
Result
1:0
26/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 14

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
815
Shots on target
57
Corner Kicks
115
Total shots
815
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
38
Corner Kicks
115
Goalkeeper Saves
74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Maracanã
37.5%
Draw
28.5%
Tocantinópolis
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 26.5% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 26.7% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maracanã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maracanã's form might have worsened.
  • Tocantinópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tocantinópolis's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maracanã than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maracanã, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tocantinópolis than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tocantinópolis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Maracanã - Tocantinópolis Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (1.88)
    3.2
    (3.4)
    2.68
    (3.5)
    9.6%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Maracanã - Tocantinópolis?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Maracanã (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 6)
    • Maracanã is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tocantinópolis has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maracanã won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Maracanã - Tocantinópolis were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Tocantinópolis - Maracanã 2:2
    Latest results of Maracanã
    19.07.2025 Maranhão - Maracanã 3:0
    12.07.2025 Iguatu - Maracanã 2:1
    06.07.2025 Maracanã - Altos 1:3
    29.06.2025 Maracanã - Parnahyba 2:1
    Latest results of Tocantinópolis
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    10CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    11Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    12CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    13AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    14EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    15Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    7AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    8Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA3 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Santa CruzAmerica RN1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CianorteBarra FC0 : 1, 0 : 0
    4GoiatubaInter de Limeira0 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1MaranhaoSanta Cruz0 : 0, 0 : 1
    2Barra FCInter de Limeira3 : 2, 2 : 0

    Final
    1Santa CruzBarra FC0 : 0, 1 : 2