Sampaio Corrêa vs Tocantinópolis – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Sampaio Corrêa - Tocantinópolis
Result
2:0
12/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
114
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
61
Total shots
114
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
61
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45', 1 - 0, Alan Stence ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 87', 2 - 0, Yan ,

Chances of winning


Sampaio Corrêa
63.2%
Draw
23.2%
Tocantinópolis
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.1% 22.5% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6% 21.6% 16.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Tocantinópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tocantinópolis than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Sampaio Corrêa - Tocantinópolis Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.5)
    3.93
    (4)
    6.68
    (5.2)
    9.9%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 6).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Sampaio Corrêa is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sampaio Corrêa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sampaio Corrêa - Tocantinópolis were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Tocantinópolis - Sampaio Corrêa 0:0
    Latest results of Sampaio Corrêa
    Latest results of Tocantinópolis
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao1 : 2
    2America RNImperatriz1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz
    4ASAManauara1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 1