São Bernardo vs Tocantinópolis – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D São Bernardo - Tocantinópolis
27/08/2022 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


São Bernardo
55.4%
Draw
26%
Tocantinópolis
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 29.5% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 28.9% 21.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Bernardo's performance.
  • Tocantinópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Bernardo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tocantinópolis than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • São Bernardo - Tocantinópolis Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.88)
    3.46
    (3.08)
    4.86
    (4.12)
    10.9%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    8ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    9PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    10CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    11Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    12CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    13AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    14EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    15Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    16Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao0 : 0, 1 : 2
    2ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz0 : 1, 1 : 1
    4America RNImperatriz0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5MixtoCianorte0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    7AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    8Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1MaranhaoASA3 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Santa CruzAmerica RN1 : 1, 1 : 0
    3CianorteBarra FC0 : 1, 0 : 0
    4GoiatubaInter de Limeira0 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1MaranhaoSanta Cruz0 : 1
    2Barra FCInter de Limeira2 : 0

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2