Azul Claro Numazu vs Tochigi City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:5
30/08/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J3 League - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
614
Shots on target
59
Corner Kicks
27
Yellow Cards
41
Red Cards
10
Total shots
614
Shots on target
59
Shots off target
15
Corner Kicks
27
Goalkeeper Saves
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 7', Tokunaga K. 🟨,
  • 8', 0 - 1, Jonjic M. ,
  • 19', Okui R. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 1, Kawamata K. (Pen),
  • 38', 1 - 2, Vasquez B. (Pen),
  • 40', Mihara S. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 2, Shirawachi K. , Mihara S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 51', 2 - 3, Hiraoka M. , Vasquez B. (A),
  • 64', Kawamata K. , Suzuki W. I. ,
  • 64', Martinez E. , Yanagimachi K. ,
  • 68', 3 - 3, Suzuki W. I. ,
  • 69', Tokunaga K. 🟨,
  • 71', 4 - 3, Shinozaki T. ,
  • 72', Sekino G. , Utsugi S. ,
  • 72', Hiraoka M. , Fujiwara T. ,
  • 75', Mori Y. , Sato N. ,
  • 75', Shirawachi K. , Mukai H. ,
  • 79', Okui R. , Suzuki H. ,
  • 79', Kato J. , Utaka P. ,
  • 86', Okaniwa Y. , Oshima T. ,
  • 87', Mihara S. , Inoue K. ,
  • 88', Suzuki K. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 4 - 4, Utsugi S. , Konishi K. (A),
  • 90+7', 4 - 5, Utaka P. , Tanaka P. J. (A),

Chances of winning


Azul Claro Numazu
26.8%
Draw
26.5%
Tochigi City
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 30.8% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6% 30.3% 35.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Azul Claro Numazu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Azul Claro Numazu's form might have worsened.
  • Tochigi City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tochigi City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azul Claro Numazu than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Azul Claro Numazu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tochigi City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Azul Claro Numazu - Tochigi City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.42
    (2.76)
    3.46
    (2.96)
    1.96
    (2.52)
    9.1%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Azul Claro Numazu - Tochigi City?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tochigi City (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Tochigi City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Azul Claro Numazu is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Tochigi City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Tochigi City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Azul Claro Numazu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Azul Claro Numazu - Tochigi City were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Tochigi City - Azul Claro Numazu 0:0
    Latest results of Azul Claro Numazu
    Latest results of Tochigi City
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Osaka (3)Kanazawa (6)1 : 0
    2Tegevajaro Miyazaki (4)Kagoshima Utd (5)2 : 0

    Final
    1Osaka (3)Tegevajaro Miyazaki (4)0 : 4