Osaka vs Tochigi City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J3 League Osaka - Tochigi City
Result
1:0
15/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J3 League - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
66
Shots on target
42
Corner Kicks
13
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
66
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
24
Corner Kicks
13
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', 1 - 0, Tone R. , Sawazaki R. (A),
  • 58', Tone R. , Nose R. ,
  • 59', Utsugi S. , Mori T. ,
  • 59', Kato J. , Saito K. ,
  • 59', Fujiwara T. , Utaka P. ,
  • 73', Tachino S. , Hashimoto R. ,
  • 73', Haga A. , Takei S. ,
  • 74', Vasquez B. , Oshima T. ,
  • 76', Takei S. 🟨,
  • 80', Mima K. , Sakamoto K. ,
  • 80', Sawazaki R. , Akiyama T. ,
  • 82', Tanaka P. J. , Omotehara G. ,

Chances of winning


Osaka
33.5%
Draw
28%
Tochigi City
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 29.6% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 30.7% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Osaka's form might have worsened.
  • Tochigi City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tochigi City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Osaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tochigi City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Osaka - Tochigi City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.25)
    3.29
    (3.07)
    2.39
    (3.02)
    8.6%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Osaka - Tochigi City?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tochigi City will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tochigi City: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Osaka is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tochigi City's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Osaka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Osaka - Tochigi City were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Tochigi City - Osaka 2:1
    Latest results of Osaka
    07.09.2025 Zweigen Kanazawa - Osaka 2:1
    30.08.2025 Osaka - Sagamihara 0:2
    23.08.2025 Vanraure Hachinohe - Osaka 1:1
    26.07.2025 Osaka - Kamatamare Sanuki 2:1
    Latest results of Tochigi City
    Japan J3 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vanraure27166534:171754
    2Kagoshima Utd27149454:282651
    3Tochigi City27156644:311351
    4Osaka27146738:231548
    5Tegevajaro Miyazaki27138638:30847
    6Nara Club27128738:31744
    7Tochigi SC271161026:26039
    8Fukushima Utd27108947:54-738
    9Giravanz Kitakyushu271141227:27037
    10Sagamihara2799928:36-836
    11Yamaga27981030:31-135
    12Kanazawa271051231:33-235
    13Ryukyu27971128:30-234
    14Gainare Tottori27961225:30-533
    15Kochi United27871235:47-1231
    16Gifu27781232:39-729
    17Kusatsu27691236:42-627
    18Nagano27681320:36-1626
    19Kamatamare27671431:40-925
    20Azul Claro Numazu27391529:40-1118

          Promotion ~ J2 League
          Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          J3 League (Relegation)
          Relegation