Osaka vs Tochigi City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J3 League Osaka - Tochigi City
Result
1:0
15/09/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J3 League - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
66
Shots on target
42
Corner Kicks
13
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
66
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
24
Corner Kicks
13
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', 1 - 0, Tone R. , Sawazaki R. (A),
  • 58', Tone R. , Nose R. ,
  • 59', Utsugi S. , Mori T. ,
  • 59', Kato J. , Saito K. ,
  • 59', Fujiwara T. , Utaka P. ,
  • 73', Tachino S. , Hashimoto R. ,
  • 73', Haga A. , Takei S. ,
  • 74', Vasquez B. , Oshima T. ,
  • 76', Takei S. 🟨,
  • 80', Mima K. , Sakamoto K. ,
  • 80', Sawazaki R. , Akiyama T. ,
  • 82', Tanaka P. J. , Omotehara G. ,

Chances of winning


Osaka
33.5%
Draw
28%
Tochigi City
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.4% 29.6% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 30.7% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Osaka's form might have worsened.
  • Tochigi City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tochigi City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Osaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tochigi City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Osaka - Tochigi City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.25)
    3.29
    (3.07)
    2.39
    (3.02)
    8.6%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Osaka - Tochigi City?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tochigi City will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tochigi City: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Osaka is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tochigi City's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Osaka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Osaka - Tochigi City were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Tochigi City - Osaka 2:1
    Latest results of Osaka
    07.09.2025 Zweigen Kanazawa - Osaka 2:1
    30.08.2025 Osaka - Sagamihara 0:2
    23.08.2025 Vanraure Hachinohe - Osaka 1:1
    26.07.2025 Osaka - Kamatamare Sanuki 2:1
    Latest results of Tochigi City
    Japan J3 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vanraure33216643:182569
    2Tochigi City33207656:322467
    3Kagoshima Utd331710663:352861
    4Osaka33177946:301658
    5Tegevajaro Miyazaki32169752:371557
    6Kanazawa331651245:37853
    7Nara Club331491043:38551
    8Giravanz Kitakyushu331551338:32650
    9Tochigi SC331471233:31249
    10Fukushima Utd331281351:62-1144
    11Sagamihara3311101232:42-1043
    12Gifu331181443:50-741
    13Gainare Tottori331161633:42-939
    14Ryukyu331071634:46-1237
    15Yamaga32991432:37-536
    16Nagano33981629:45-1635
    17Kochi United33971739:57-1834
    18Kusatsu337101642:54-1231
    19Kamatamare33871838:53-1531
    20Azul Claro Numazu33591935:49-1424

          Promotion ~ J2 League
          Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          J3 League (Relegation)
          Relegation