Result
3:2
05/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J3 League - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
China | K-Ball |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Takagi D. ⚽, Araki R. (A),
- 30', Tosa R. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Hiraoka M. ⚽, Sekino G. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 52', 2 - 1, Sato Y. ⚽,
- 56', 2 - 2, Hiramatsu S. ⚽,
- 62', Nagai S. ↓, Motegi S. ↑,
- 62', Koki Y. ↓, Sota K. ↑,
- 62', Takagi D. ↓, Ihara A. ↑,
- 66', Tosa R. ↓, Mori T. ↑,
- 66', Saito K. ↓, Yoshida A. ↑,
- 72', Suzuki H. ↓, Utaka P. ↑,
- 77', Sekino G. ↓, Konishi K. ↑,
- 77', Tanaka P. J. ↓, Oshima T. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 2, Oshima T. ⚽,
- 82', Iwamoto S. ↓, Wade M. ↑,
- 90+1', Sato Y. ↓, Einaga T. ↑,
- 90+4', Einaga T. 🟨,
- 90+5', Okui R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tochigi City 56% | Draw 24.7% | Ryūkyū 19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tochigi City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tochigi City's performance.The chances for Ryūkyū have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Tochigi City - Ryūkyū Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.62 ↓ (1.85) |
3.67 ↑ (3.1) |
4.7 ↓ (4.85) |
10.4% (6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tochigi City - Ryūkyū?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tochigi City (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Tochigi City will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League and 16).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Tochigi City is seen as the favorite.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Tochigi City won against Ryūkyū?
Tochigi City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ryūkyū won against Tochigi City?
Ryūkyū has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tochigi City - Ryūkyū were as follows:
Latest results of Tochigi City
Japan J3 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vanraure | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 43:18 | 25 | 69 |
| 2 | Tochigi City | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 56:32 | 24 | 67 |
| 3 | Kagoshima Utd | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 63:35 | 28 | 61 |
| 4 | Osaka | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 46:30 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 52:37 | 15 | 57 |
| 6 | Kanazawa | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 45:37 | 8 | 53 |
| 7 | Nara Club | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 51 |
| 8 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 38:32 | 6 | 50 |
| 9 | Tochigi SC | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 33:31 | 2 | 49 |
| 10 | Fukushima Utd | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 51:62 | -11 | 44 |
| 11 | Sagamihara | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 32:42 | -10 | 43 |
| 12 | Gifu | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 41 |
| 13 | Gainare Tottori | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 33:42 | -9 | 39 |
| 14 | Ryukyu | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Yamaga | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 32:37 | -5 | 36 |
| 16 | Nagano | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 29:45 | -16 | 35 |
| 17 | Kochi United | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 39:57 | -18 | 34 |
| 18 | Kusatsu | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 42:54 | -12 | 31 |
| 19 | Kamatamare | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 38:53 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Azul Claro Numazu | 33 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 35:49 | -14 | 24 |
Promotion ~ J2 League
Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
J3 League (Relegation)
Relegation