Nagano Parceiro vs Tochigi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:4
29/11/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • J3 League - Round 38
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
715
Shots on target
411
Corner Kicks
36
Total shots
715
Shots on target
411
Shots off target
34
Corner Kicks
36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Hiramatsu W. , Ota R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Kano H. , Lee S. ,
  • 47', 0 - 2, Nakano K. ,
  • 57', Sakai S. , Gyotoku E. ,
  • 57', Ando K. , Sunamori K. ,
  • 58', 0 - 3, Ota R. , Kawana R. (A),
  • 68', Koga S. , Sanda N. ,
  • 74', Aoshima T. , Sato S. ,
  • 74', Igarashi T. , Tanahashi A. ,
  • 74', Kawana R. , Fukumori K. ,
  • 86', Yamanaka R. , Ukita K. ,
  • 86', Ota R. , Sugawara R. ,
  • 90+3', 0 - 4, Kimura Y. , Nakano K. (A),
  • 90+3', Kawata S. , Tanno K. ,

Chances of winning


Nagano Parceiro
16.9%
Draw
26%
Tochigi
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.7% 28.9% 46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4% 27.4% 49%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nagano Parceiro's form might have worsened.
  • Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tochigi's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nagano Parceiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tochigi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nagano Parceiro - Tochigi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.48
    (3.75)
    3.55
    (3.21)
    1.62
    (2)
    8.2%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone J3 League (Relegation) and 9).
    • Nagano is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Tochigi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Tochigi is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nagano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nagano Parceiro - Tochigi were as follows:
    06.05.2025 Tochigi - Nagano Parceiro 1:0
    Latest results of Nagano Parceiro
    Latest results of Tochigi
    23.11.2025 Tochigi - Gainare Tottori 2:1
    16.11.2025 Zweigen Kanazawa - Tochigi 2:0
    09.11.2025 Tochigi - Kagoshima United 2:0
    02.11.2025 Tochigi - Gifu 1:2
    24.10.2025 Osaka - Tochigi 0:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Osaka (3)Kanazawa (6)1 : 0
    2Tegevajaro Miyazaki (4)Kagoshima Utd (5)2 : 0

    Final
    1Osaka (3)Tegevajaro Miyazaki (4)0 : 4