Result
1:3
28/09/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J2 League - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
---|
49% | 51% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 7 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
84% (482/577) | 82% (425/521) |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 2 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 7 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 2 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 18 |
Passes |
---|
84% (482/577) | 82% (425/521) |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 11', Saneto Y. ↓, Kawakami Y. ↑,
- 25', 0 - 1, Thonny Anderson ⚽, Takagi Y. (A),
- 32', Thonny Anderson 🟨,
- 43', Yoshihira T. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 2, Thonny Anderson ⚽, Lucas Barcelos (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', 1 - 2, Fukazawa S. ⚽, Matsuoka D. (A),
- 56', 1 - 3, Lucas Barcelos ⚽,
- 58', Furukawa M. ↓, Yunomae M. ↑,
- 58', Sueki H. ↓, Sasaki Y. ↑,
- 70', Thonny Anderson ↓, Miyazaki J. ↑,
- 70', Elsinho ↓, Yanagisawa K. ↑,
- 75', Miyazaki J. 🟨,
- 80', Matsuoka D. ↓, Ito T. ↑,
- 80', Fukazawa S. ↓, Kagawa Y. ↑,
- 86', Nagaki R. ↓, Sugimoto T. ↑,
- 86', Lucas Barcelos ↓, Tsuboi K. ↑,
- 88', Takagi Y. ↓, Takada S. ↑,
- 90+4', Kawakami Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kataller Toyama 16.7% | Draw 26.5% | Tokushima Vortis 56.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kataller Toyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kataller Toyama's form might have worsened.Tokushima Vortis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tokushima Vortis's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kataller Toyama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (-13.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tokushima Vortis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kataller Toyama - Tokushima Vortis Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.38 ↑ (3.6) |
3.79 ↑ (3.27) |
1.76 ↓ (2.1) |
-1.2% (6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kataller Toyama - Tokushima Vortis?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tokushima (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Tokushima Vortis will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 7).
- Kataller Toyama has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Tokushima is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Tokushima might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kataller Toyama won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kataller Toyama won against Tokushima Vortis?
Kataller Toyama has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tokushima Vortis won against Kataller Toyama?
Tokushima Vortis has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kataller Toyama - Tokushima Vortis were as follows:
26.04.2025
Tokushima Vortis
-
Kataller Toyama
1:0
Latest results of Kataller Toyama
Latest results of Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 55:40 | 15 | 62 |
2 | Mito | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 50:30 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Chiba | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
4 | Tokushima | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 38:20 | 18 | 57 |
5 | Omiya Ardija | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 48:32 | 16 | 56 |
6 | Sagan Tosu | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 7 | 56 |
7 | Vegalta Sendai | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 40:30 | 10 | 55 |
8 | Iwata | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 49:46 | 3 | 51 |
9 | Imabari | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 40:35 | 5 | 48 |
10 | Iwaki | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 50:41 | 9 | 46 |
11 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 33 | 14 | 4 | 15 | 41:55 | -14 | 46 |
12 | Montedio Yamagata | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 48:47 | 1 | 42 |
13 | Kofu | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 35:38 | -3 | 42 |
14 | Blaublitz | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 40:50 | -10 | 38 |
15 | Fujieda MYFC | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 37:43 | -6 | 36 |
16 | Kumamoto | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 40:52 | -12 | 35 |
17 | Oita Trinita | 33 | 7 | 14 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 35 |
18 | Toyama | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 25:45 | -20 | 27 |
19 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 30:43 | -13 | 26 |
20 | Ehime | 33 | 3 | 11 | 19 | 32:59 | -27 | 20 |
Promotion ~ J1 League
Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ J3 League