Kataller Toyama vs Tokushima Vortis – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J2 League Kataller Toyama - Tokushima Vortis
Result
1:3
28/09/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J2 League - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
67
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
84% (482/577)82% (425/521)
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
75
Corner Kicks
32
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1518
Passes
84% (482/577)82% (425/521)
Fouls
1513

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 11', Saneto Y. , Kawakami Y. ,
  • 25', 0 - 1, Thonny Anderson , Takagi Y. (A),
  • 32', Thonny Anderson 🟨,
  • 43', Yoshihira T. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 2, Thonny Anderson , Lucas Barcelos (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', 1 - 2, Fukazawa S. , Matsuoka D. (A),
  • 56', 1 - 3, Lucas Barcelos ,
  • 58', Furukawa M. , Yunomae M. ,
  • 58', Sueki H. , Sasaki Y. ,
  • 70', Thonny Anderson , Miyazaki J. ,
  • 70', Elsinho , Yanagisawa K. ,
  • 75', Miyazaki J. 🟨,
  • 80', Matsuoka D. , Ito T. ,
  • 80', Fukazawa S. , Kagawa Y. ,
  • 86', Nagaki R. , Sugimoto T. ,
  • 86', Lucas Barcelos , Tsuboi K. ,
  • 88', Takagi Y. , Takada S. ,
  • 90+4', Kawakami Y. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kataller Toyama
16.7%
Draw
26.5%
Tokushima Vortis
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.2% 28.8% 44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1% 27.8% 43.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kataller Toyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kataller Toyama's form might have worsened.
  • Tokushima Vortis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tokushima Vortis's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kataller Toyama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (-13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tokushima Vortis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Kataller Toyama - Tokushima Vortis Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.38
    (3.6)
    3.79
    (3.27)
    1.76
    (2.1)
    -1.2%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Kataller Toyama - Tokushima Vortis?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tokushima (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Tokushima Vortis will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 7).
    • Kataller Toyama has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Tokushima is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Tokushima might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kataller Toyama won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kataller Toyama - Tokushima Vortis were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Tokushima Vortis - Kataller Toyama 1:0
    Latest results of Kataller Toyama
    Latest results of Tokushima Vortis
    Japan J2 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1V-Varen Nagasaki331711555:401562
    2Mito331710650:302061
    3Chiba33177944:311358
    4Tokushima33169838:201857
    5Omiya Ardija33168948:321656
    6Sagan Tosu33168942:35756
    7Vegalta Sendai331413640:301055
    8Iwata331561249:46351
    9Imabari331212940:35548
    10Iwaki3312101150:41946
    11Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo331441541:55-1446
    12Montedio Yamagata331261548:47142
    13Kofu331191335:38-342
    14Blaublitz331081540:50-1038
    15Fujieda MYFC33991537:43-636
    16Kumamoto33981640:52-1235
    17Oita Trinita337141224:36-1235
    18Toyama33691825:45-2027
    19Renofa Yamaguchi334141530:43-1326
    20Ehime333111932:59-2720

          Promotion ~ J1 League
          Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
          Relegation ~ J3 League